NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	118		Excitement	11.0 [29]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (MIN): +48.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Comeback	10.3 [82]		LVP	Amir Johnson (PHI): -12.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.02	0.27	0.00	10	64%	0.36	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Richaun Holmes	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.04	0.17	0.01	11	60%	0.24	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Joel Embiid	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.19	0.10	0.14	0.05	16	64%	0.30	2	-0.11	12	92%	0.14
JJ Redick	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	15	62%	0.24	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.08
Trevor Booker	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	8	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.19,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.16	0.21	-0.00	8	37%	0.30	7	-0.25	3	33%	-0.12
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	4	78%	0.03	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.08,0,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.48	0.48	0.11	0.39	0.02	33	54%	0.53	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	14	61%	0.17	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	16	45%	-0.09	1	-0.01	10	70%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	9	32%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.09
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	24	38%	-0.12	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	3.5	26.3	14.7	27.6	3.4	33.5	2.5	20.4	158.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +79.2%

PHI +42.7%

MIN -17.5%

MIN -50.4%

MIN -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	12.7	15.3	14.7	103.5	99.1	107.5
season	13.9	15.3		108.1	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.7		110.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	14.3	11.4	12.6	13.3	10.9	12.7
MIN	14.5	16.7	14.6	16.2	14.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	84	83	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.31	19	-13	32	12.6	13.1	-0.51	15.9	13.9	1.96
JJ Redick	76	76	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.35	11	-5	16	12.5	13.1	-0.66	15.3	15.5	-0.22
Ben Simmons	86	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	3	0	12.4	13.5	-1.12	15.7	14.1	1.61
Dario Saric	86	87	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	3	0	12.6	13.1	-0.50	15.3	15.5	-0.26
Richaun Holmes	73	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.54	-6	12	-18	12.6	12.8	-0.14	15.4	15.3	0.11
Trevor Booker	40	41	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.15	8	-2	10	13.0	12.5	0.55	15.6	15.2	0.39
Jerryd Bayless	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	3	0	12.5	12.7	-0.20	15.7	15.2	0.54
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	8	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	6	-6	15.6	12.5	3.15	14.3	15.4	-1.12
T.J. McConnell	59	57	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.17	-1	7	-8	12.8	12.5	0.32	14.2	16.5	-2.38
Amir Johnson	27	26	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.03	-10	16	-26	13.6	12.4	1.13	14.7	15.5	-0.79

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	42	44	0.37	-0.87	1.23	0.25	4	-10	14	15.2	15.4	-0.16	13.4	12.3	1.13
Tyus Jones	32	32	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.11	-2	-4	2	14.3	15.7	-1.43	13.5	12.4	1.17
Gorgui Dieng	40	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-7	8	14.4	15.9	-1.49	12.3	12.9	-0.64
Taj Gibson	83	82	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-3	0	15.7	14.4	1.27	13.1	11.7	1.31
Jeff Teague	81	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.44	-4	-2	-2	15.7	14.3	1.43	12.4	13.5	-1.17
Jimmy Butler	99	98	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.41	-6	0	-6	15.6	13.6	1.93	12.3	14.8	-2.47
Karl-Anthony Towns	103	104	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	4	-14	15.4	14.3	1.14	12.6	14.0	-1.43
Andrew Wiggins	85	86	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.49	-10	4	-14	15.1	16.0	-0.93	12.7	12.6	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.55,0.26,0.54,0.38,0.1,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 111, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.79,0.91,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.9,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.25,0.15,0.07,0.13,0	88.9%
SAS 134, HOU 126	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.64,0.45,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.02,0.01,0	88.2%
ATL 104, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.65,0.58,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.6,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.75,0.28,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.07,0.01,0	88.0%