NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	111		Excitement	5.7 [704]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +33.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	116		Comeback	2.5 [1045]		LVP	James Ennis III (MEM): -3.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.02	0.14	0.01	4	90%	0.21	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.09	0.20	-0.08	0.03	20	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Andrew Harrison	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	6	80%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jarell Martin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	23	55%	0.14	3	-0.09	3	67%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	13	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.33	0.33	0.13	0.20	-0.01	22	65%	0.45	5	-0.12	8	100%	0.06
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	-0.00	0.01	12	74%	0.19	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	8	94%	0.16	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	9	70%	0.10	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	60%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.0	27.0	14.4	26.6	2.5	32.5	130.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +27.7%

CLE +15.1%

CLE +2.8%

CLE +4.3%

CLE +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CLE	NBA	MEM	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	14.7	119.4	124.7	107.5
season	15.4	14.8		103.4	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.6		110.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.5	16.1	13.6	16.4	15.6
CLE	16.3	12.7	15.2	17.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Harrison	35	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.43	14	-19	33	15.0	15.9	-0.94	16.5	14.7	1.77
James Ennis III	40	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-3	1	16.0	15.2	0.73	14.4	16.2	-1.81
Jarell Martin	42	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-1	-3	15.3	15.7	-0.41	14.1	16.5	-2.39
Marc Gasol	78	79	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.43	8	-13	21	15.5	15.7	-0.13	16.2	10.9	5.36
Mario Chalmers	32	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	4	-13	16.2	15.2	0.91	13.9	16.1	-2.28
Ben McLemore	51	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	5	-15	15.1	16.1	-1.06	14.7	16.4	-1.73
Dillon Brooks	53	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	15.2	16.0	-0.73	16.2	14.4	1.81
Tyreke Evans	74	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.26	-5	0	-5	15.8	14.5	1.30	15.8	14.1	1.70
JaMychal Green	60	59	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.24	-14	9	-23	15.8	15.0	0.82	15.6	15.1	0.55

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	63	64	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-11	27	14.6	17.1	-2.50	15.7	15.2	0.51
JR Smith	63	64	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	-3	11	15.7	14.9	0.75	16.3	13.8	2.52
Dwyane Wade	49	48	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	-5	15	15.0	15.9	-0.91	15.2	16.0	-0.81
Kevin Love	55	57	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.27	1	4	-3	16.2	14.3	1.89	15.7	15.4	0.32
LeBron James	75	75	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	10	-15	15.9	13.4	2.50	15.6	15.3	0.35
Jeff Green	50	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	2	1	14.4	16.6	-2.22	15.4	15.7	-0.34
Cedi Osman	12	12	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	0	5	14.2	15.6	-1.33	16.0	15.5	0.51
Channing Frye	29	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	4	-3	14.9	15.7	-0.79	13.6	16.4	-2.79
Jae Crowder	42	43	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	6	-7	15.5	15.3	0.17	16.3	14.9	1.34
Jose Calderon	27	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.19	-13	18	-31	17.4	14.6	2.87	14.5	16.0	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.88,0.57,0.71,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 116, HOU 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.55,0.42,1	91.9%
SAS 86, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.87,0.72,1	91.5%
UTA 102, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.99,0.9,0.9,0.72,1	91.2%