NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	82		Excitement	2.6 [1245]		MVP	J.J. Barea (DAL): +14.2%
Dallas Mavericks	108		Comeback	1.0 [1036]		LVP	Austin Rivers (LAC): -8.2%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	7	78%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
C.J. Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamil Wilson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	5	80%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Brice Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	6	60%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sam Dekker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.15	0.00	-0.12	7	0%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	16	43%	-0.04	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.02
Jawun Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	9	25%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	15	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.00	-0.00	12	84%	0.16	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	5	71%	0.09	0	0.00	11	91%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.17	0.00	0.09	6	123%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	60%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	10	35%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	57%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	4	30%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.01
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonius Cleveland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.3	29.2	14.7	24.2	0.8	27.5	127.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +40.8%

DAL +3.3%

DAL +2.7%

DAL +4.0%

LAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.3	16.9	14.7	91.1	121.3	107.5
season	14.2	15.4		109.2	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.6		108.1	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.2	15.1	14.8	14.0	15.3
DAL	16.2	17.6	19.5	14.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brice Johnson	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-29	32	11.9	15.7	-3.81	14.7	17.3	-2.52
Willie Reed	13	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.24	-9	-17	8	15.2	15.3	-0.03	14.5	17.4	-2.89
Jamil Wilson	27	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-23	20	14.6	15.5	-0.89	18.2	16.4	1.78
Jawun Evans	38	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.17	-10	-16	6	13.1	16.9	-3.81	14.3	19.0	-4.76
Sam Dekker	24	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.15	-10	-16	6	15.2	15.3	-0.06	17.4	16.7	0.65
Sindarius Thornwell	32	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.23	-14	-12	-2	14.2	15.8	-1.66	14.3	18.5	-4.23
Wesley Johnson	50	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-20	14	15.7	14.6	1.09	18.4	15.2	3.18
C.J. Williams	43	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.22	-15	-11	-4	14.0	16.4	-2.32	16.2	17.6	-1.36
DeAndre Jordan	54	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-21	16	16.1	14.0	2.09	18.9	14.2	4.65
Austin Rivers	53	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.15	-16	-10	-6	16.9	12.8	4.11	18.0	15.6	2.41
Montrezl Harrell	48	47	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.19	-24	-2	-22	15.4	15.1	0.21	15.3	18.7	-3.37
Lou Williams	57	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.08	-21	-5	-16	16.3	13.4	2.94	18.5	14.2	4.29

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	45	45	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.42	32	-6	38	16.1	17.8	-1.66	16.5	14.0	2.42
J.J. Barea	45	45	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.44	31	-5	36	16.6	17.2	-0.58	15.6	14.9	0.73
Devin Harris	38	38	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.24	21	5	16	16.9	16.9	-0.02	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Dennis Smith Jr.	42	45	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.43	27	-1	28	16.8	17.0	-0.23	16.9	13.6	3.27
Dwight Powell	41	41	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.33	23	3	20	14.8	18.8	-3.99	14.8	15.6	-0.83
Wesley Matthews	42	43	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	21	-16	18.5	15.6	2.88	16.0	14.5	1.51
Harrison Barnes	50	54	0.15	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	20	-14	18.8	14.6	4.17	16.0	14.2	1.81
Maxi Kleber	40	41	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.27	-6	32	-38	18.7	15.4	3.30	15.5	15.0	0.47
Yogi Ferrell	42	41	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	24	-22	15.2	18.5	-3.30	13.7	16.6	-2.84
Antonius Cleveland	19	17	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	28	-30	13.7	17.8	-4.13	11.4	16.2	-4.81
Jeff Withey	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	14.6	17.4	-2.80	11.2	15.9	-4.79
Salah Mejri	27	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.18	-7	33	-40	20.0	15.6	4.46	14.4	15.6	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, LAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
LAL 88, SEA 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MIN 76, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%