NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	8.2 [238]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (WAS): +25.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Comeback	6.1 [112]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -26.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,-0.08,0.26	0.08	0.17	-0.00	18	58%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.06	0.00	6	100%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.12	0.00	8	67%	0.21	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.05	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Marcin Gortat	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.26	-0.10	-0.15	0.01	11	29%	-0.23	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.00	9	57%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	13	57%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	8	62%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.08	-0.02	19	53%	-0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.19	-0.00	17	45%	-0.07	1	-0.13	4	100%	0.05
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.23	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	0.01	15	39%	-0.20	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	25.3	14.7	25.1	1.7	32.0	123.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +50.8%

MIN -9.1%

MIN -4.2%

WAS +13.5%

MIN -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIN	NBA	WAS	MIN	NBA
this game	15.4	17.1	14.7	104.5	100.0	107.5
season	14.8	15.3		108.2	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.7		110.2	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.5	14.2	13.5	16.9	15.4
MIN	16.0	15.8	17.2	19.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	50	48	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.35	18	-15	33	14.7	16.4	-1.69	18.2	15.9	2.31
Kelly Oubre Jr.	58	59	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.37	16	-13	29	14.6	17.0	-2.36	17.6	16.2	1.34
Mike Scott	38	39	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-12	27	14.5	16.1	-1.60	18.1	16.4	1.74
Bradley Beal	62	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.61	-6	9	-15	15.6	14.9	0.74	17.1	17.2	-0.10
Otto Porter Jr.	57	58	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.66	-8	11	-19	16.0	14.3	1.78	16.8	17.7	-0.85
Tomas Satoransky	40	41	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.23	12	-9	21	14.5	16.1	-1.62	17.4	16.9	0.49
Jodie Meeks	33	34	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.25	12	-9	21	14.8	15.8	-1.04	17.3	17.0	0.23
Tim Frazier	29	28	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.07	-11	14	-25	17.0	14.6	2.32	16.4	17.5	-1.12
Marcin Gortat	36	37	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.09	-14	17	-31	16.5	14.7	1.80	15.7	18.1	-2.43
Markieff Morris	37	38	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	0.06	-19	22	-41	16.5	14.6	1.95	16.1	17.9	-1.78

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	15	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	3	-9	17.5	17.0	0.49	15.8	15.3	0.49
Jimmy Butler	69	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.51	12	-15	27	17.5	15.7	1.77	16.3	12.3	3.96
Jamal Crawford	31	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.19	-13	10	-23	17.1	17.1	0.01	14.0	16.2	-2.13
Shabazz Muhammad	8	9	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	6	-15	16.4	17.2	-0.82	13.3	15.6	-2.31
Gorgui Dieng	30	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	10	-23	16.6	17.4	-0.84	14.1	16.1	-1.99
Karl-Anthony Towns	73	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-6	9	17.3	16.1	1.22	15.9	13.3	2.62
Taj Gibson	75	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.52	4	-7	11	17.1	17.1	0.06	15.5	15.2	0.30
Andrew Wiggins	70	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.56	4	-7	11	16.8	18.3	-1.45	15.4	15.4	0.01
Tyus Jones	74	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.53	3	-6	9	17.0	17.5	-0.49	15.3	15.8	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.43,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.68,0.58,0	90.5%
PHI 112, BKN 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.68,0.54,0.32,0.73,0	90.5%
CLE 102, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.68,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.6,0.74,0.54,0.31,0.28,0	90.3%