NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Excitement	7.0 [459]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +19.2%
Charlotte Hornets	107		Comeback	2.4 [569]		LVP	Dwight Howard (CHA): -10.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.19	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.04	-0.04	24	61%	0.29	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.02	16	63%	0.17	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	8	56%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.01	0.07	0.01	10	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
JR Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	8	37%	0.06	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Jae Crowder	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	14	73%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.02	7	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	17	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	47%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	57%	0.09	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.07	-0.04	15	50%	0.02	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	4	-0.10	6	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.4	29.5	14.7	27.2	3.4	30.5	135.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +31.9%

CLE +3.9%

CLE +13.1%

CLE +0.4%

CLE +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	16.0	13.0	14.7	115.0	108.1	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		111.2	108.7
opponent	14.5	14.7		108.5	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.6	16.1	16.1	16.1	16.0
CHA	12.6	11.6	15.2	12.7	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	41	42	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-6	20	15.0	16.6	-1.67	13.9	12.3	1.67
Kyle Korver	48	48	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.24	12	-4	16	16.4	15.6	0.76	12.6	13.4	-0.79
Dwyane Wade	41	42	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	1	6	14.5	17.0	-2.50	12.8	13.1	-0.28
Jeff Green	45	46	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	5	-2	16.0	15.9	0.11	12.5	13.4	-0.84
Iman Shumpert	73	70	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	2	4	15.2	18.0	-2.79	13.1	12.6	0.59
Jae Crowder	56	54	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	5	-2	16.1	15.7	0.38	13.1	12.8	0.31
LeBron James	74	74	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	7	-6	16.6	14.1	2.54	13.1	12.5	0.66
JR Smith	65	63	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	8	-8	16.3	15.4	0.91	13.1	12.7	0.39
Kevin Love	57	56	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	14	-20	16.9	14.7	2.26	12.4	13.8	-1.41

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	66	68	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-12	16	12.1	14.6	-2.50	16.5	14.7	1.83
Marvin Williams	55	57	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-7	6	12.5	13.6	-1.12	16.0	15.9	0.09
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	61	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-7	6	13.3	12.5	0.76	16.8	14.4	2.41
Malik Monk	21	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-5	2	11.2	13.4	-2.20	14.1	16.4	-2.30
Dwight Howard	47	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-9	10	12.0	13.8	-1.85	16.6	15.2	1.40
Cody Zeller	47	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	0	-8	14.1	11.9	2.20	15.4	16.4	-0.98
Jeremy Lamb	46	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-1	-6	13.8	12.3	1.52	14.7	17.0	-2.35
Kemba Walker	78	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	13.4	11.2	2.20	16.4	14.1	2.30
Frank Kaminsky	49	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	0	-8	13.3	12.6	0.75	15.7	16.2	-0.53
Dwayne Bacon	25	23	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.17	-12	4	-16	13.0	13.0	-0.01	14.3	16.4	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 111, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.29,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.5%
BOS 89, NOH 77	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.05,0,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%
UTA 99, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0	92.4%