NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	8.4 [217]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +21.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	2.5 [328]		LVP	Chandler Parsons (MEM): -43.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.15,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.22	0.03	0.15	-0.04	15	56%	0.32	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.06
Tyreke Evans	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18	0.05	0.13	-0.01	15	58%	0.23	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Dillon Brooks	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11	0.02	0.10	0.01	8	41%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
James Ennis III	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.03	4	91%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Brandan Wright	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	87%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mario Chalmers	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	87%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	-0.03	14	48%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Chandler Parsons	-0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.43	-0.13	-0.31	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	5	-0.39	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.18	0.18	0.19	0.01	0.03	26	63%	0.24	1	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	71%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	0.00	10	57%	0.00	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.05
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	9	33%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.11	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.07	0.00	16	33%	-0.04	5	-0.18	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	26.5	14.7	28.7	2.4	34.2	134.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +57.6%

POR -1.7%

POR -23.5%

POR -7.6%

MEM +25.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	13.9	16.1	14.7	103.2	100.0	107.5
season	15.4	15.2		103.4	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.6		105.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.5	13.0	13.4	14.8	13.9
POR	16.1	15.2	17.7	15.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	68	68	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.48	7	-6	13	13.7	14.4	-0.72	16.7	14.4	2.34
James Ennis III	61	62	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-13	27	13.8	14.2	-0.39	16.9	14.5	2.36
Mike Conley	63	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	-5	11	13.3	15.2	-1.90	16.2	15.8	0.44
Dillon Brooks	75	77	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.46	-3	4	-7	14.0	13.6	0.35	15.9	16.4	-0.50
Tyreke Evans	66	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.56	-8	9	-17	14.0	13.7	0.39	14.7	19.2	-4.51
Jarell Martin	40	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	-6	13	14.2	13.7	0.56	18.0	14.7	3.26
Mario Chalmers	32	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	4	-7	15.2	13.3	1.90	15.7	16.2	-0.49
Chandler Parsons	44	48	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	7	-13	13.4	14.4	-0.92	15.2	16.9	-1.71
Brandan Wright	26	28	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.02	-9	10	-19	14.6	13.7	0.95	14.9	16.5	-1.63

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shabazz Napier	45	43	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.23	10	-11	21	14.6	17.3	-2.67	13.4	14.4	-1.01
Pat Connaughton	48	47	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.20	8	-9	17	15.3	16.8	-1.46	14.6	13.3	1.28
Ed Davis	52	46	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.31	11	-12	23	15.2	17.0	-1.77	14.2	13.7	0.56
Evan Turner	70	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.58	12	-13	25	14.5	20.1	-5.57	14.1	13.5	0.53
Noah Vonleh	40	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.13	-15	14	-29	18.5	14.3	4.21	14.8	13.3	1.50
Maurice Harkless	48	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	8	-17	16.9	15.2	1.63	13.3	14.6	-1.28
CJ McCollum	77	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-1	1	16.8	13.1	3.66	13.6	14.9	-1.26
Jusuf Nurkic	38	40	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	11	-23	16.9	15.5	1.39	13.4	14.3	-0.87
Damian Lillard	67	67	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.46	-10	9	-19	16.4	15.3	1.09	14.0	13.7	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.33,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 114, LAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.07,0	91.1%
GSW 119, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.61,0.29,0.55,0.15,0	90.7%
WAS 98, ATL 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0	90.7%