inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 91 Excitement2.2 [1279] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +12.2%
Houston Rockets 107 Comeback1.1 [1281] LVPWesley Matthews (DAL): -5.7%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.J. Barea0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.011366%0.113-0.02367%-0.00
Yogi Ferrell0.000,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.061556%0.001-0.004100%0.00
Nerlens Noel0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05250%0.022-0.02450%0.01
Maxi Kleber0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03362%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jeff Withey-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwight Powell-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.04555%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Gian Clavell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.040.000.07764%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.110.01-0.051738%-0.023-0.023100%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.04812%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0110%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Wesley Matthews-0.060,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.040.000.011142%-0.042-0.02475%-0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.00-0.031969%0.145-0.02475%-0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.01-0.04753%0.061-0.011100%0.00
Eric Gordon0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.110.000.061160%0.061-0.02887%0.01
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.140.010.10693%0.0400.00367%0.00
Tarik Black0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
PJ Tucker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.00-0.07625%0.0300.0000%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.090.000.08868%0.0200.003100%0.00
Zhou Qi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Troy Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bobby Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01350%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Demetrius Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04540%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02640%-0.022-0.00367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.10.728.412.829.52.525.9124.8
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +33.7%
HOU +5.3%
HOU +7.8%
HOU +4.5%
DAL -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALHOUNBADALHOUNBA
this game15.913.214.791.0109.2107.5
season15.414.6105.3112.8
opponent14.814.3105.6108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL18.216.015.014.215.9
HOU12.311.711.717.913.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Withey1817-0.00-0.500.50-0.4114-304413.416.4-3.0117.112.44.73
Maxi Kleber2322-0.00-0.500.50-0.5318-345214.216.4-2.1317.911.96.01
Dwight Powell4241-0.12-0.380.25-0.5314-304414.516.8-2.3015.011.93.00
Gian Clavell5251-0.13-0.370.24-0.399-253414.817.0-2.1914.212.12.07
Dirk Nowitzki3838-0.22-0.280.060.22-15-1-1416.615.41.1612.613.6-1.06
Dorian Finney-Smith3130-0.23-0.270.050.13-12-4-817.515.12.3114.012.91.15
Nerlens Noel3434-0.23-0.270.040.27-171-1816.615.51.0611.314.2-2.88
J.J. Barea4847-0.25-0.250.000.22-160-1616.115.60.5111.314.9-3.62
Wesley Matthews6564-0.42-0.08-0.340.49-3115-4616.414.91.5411.815.8-4.01
Harrison Barnes6564-0.42-0.08-0.340.49-3115-4616.414.91.5411.815.8-4.01
Yogi Ferrell8482-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.10-13-3-1016.015.20.7313.710.73.01

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trevor Ariza64660.460.040.42-0.5434-185211.616.1-4.5116.514.71.75
James Harden64650.420.080.34-0.4931-154611.815.8-4.0116.414.91.54
Eric Gordon49500.310.190.12-0.01115613.612.80.7316.615.11.52
Ryan Anderson47480.310.190.11-0.2519-32212.413.9-1.5416.715.11.63
PJ Tucker56570.250.250.010.17313-1013.213.20.0215.816.0-0.25
Clint Capela41440.240.26-0.01-0.05106413.013.3-0.3116.515.41.06
Luc Mbah a Moute56560.190.31-0.130.16115-1413.113.3-0.2315.316.6-1.26
Tarik Black27260.160.34-0.180.16016-1612.713.4-0.6914.816.2-1.37
Demetrius Jackson34350.080.42-0.340.52-1531-4615.811.84.0114.916.4-1.54
Nene21210.080.42-0.34-0.10610-414.113.01.1316.115.80.36
Zhou Qi13140.000.50-0.500.21-723-3017.312.64.7314.116.1-2.00
Troy Williams880.000.50-0.500.12-420-2416.412.93.4511.116.3-5.15
Bobby Brown10100.000.50-0.500.26-925-3418.012.75.3413.416.1-2.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 71, SAS 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
SEA 94, LAC 1140.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
MEM 107, GSW 1110.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%