NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	3.7 [1066]		MVP	Anthony Tolliver (SAC): +10.8%
Sacramento Kings	129		Comeback	1.0 [1051]		LVP	Langston Galloway (SAC): -7.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	10	70%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	25	48%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Elijah Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dragan Bender	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	11	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Jones, Jr.	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Alex Len	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	19	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marquese Chriss	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	19	48%	-0.03	4	-0.04	8	50%	-0.02
Ronnie Price	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.04	10	73%	0.09	3	-0.02	10	90%	0.01
Georgios Papagiannis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	9	59%	0.07	4	-0.03	4	75%	0.03
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.04	7	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.15	-0.01	0.16	20	70%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	12	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	30.5	16.3	29.3	1.8	27.2	134.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +36.9%

SAC +14.7%

PHX -1.5%

PHX -3.1%

SAC +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	13.1	13.3	14.8	95.4	118.3	107.7
season	13.9	15.4		105.4	106.0
opponent	14.6	14.5		110.0	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.7	13.5	11.9	12.8	13.1
SAC	12.6	14.8	12.6	13.4	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Bender	44	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	-17	9	14.5	12.2	2.32	13.5	13.1	0.41
Elijah Millsap	23	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-25	25	14.3	12.8	1.48	16.2	12.5	3.69
Ronnie Price	43	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-24	23	12.6	13.5	-0.88	14.4	12.6	1.73
Alan Williams	64	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.19	-15	-10	-5	12.9	13.5	-0.67	13.7	12.8	0.91
Alex Len	37	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.18	-16	-9	-7	13.2	13.1	0.04	13.0	13.4	-0.39
Tyler Ulis	81	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.20	-18	-7	-11	12.9	13.8	-0.92	12.5	15.7	-3.27
Marquese Chriss	93	94	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.19	-18	-7	-11	12.7	15.5	-2.77	12.9	15.9	-3.07
TJ Warren	86	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.36	-25	0	-25	12.8	14.3	-1.48	12.5	16.2	-3.69
Derrick Jones, Jr.	74	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.21	-24	-1	-23	13.6	12.1	1.51	13.8	12.3	1.50

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Lawson	69	69	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.11	16	9	7	13.3	13.3	-0.06	13.1	13.2	-0.18
Willie Cauley-Stein	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	10	5	13.9	12.8	1.11	13.9	12.6	1.32
Buddy Hield	76	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.28	21	4	17	12.9	14.1	-1.20	13.2	13.1	0.07
Skal Labissiere	62	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.49	27	-2	29	12.6	14.2	-1.56	13.2	13.1	0.05
Ben McLemore	64	66	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.33	21	4	17	12.4	14.5	-2.05	12.7	13.8	-1.12
Langston Galloway	60	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	13	-1	13.6	12.9	0.70	13.0	13.3	-0.23
Garrett Temple	60	60	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	21	-17	14.2	12.1	2.15	13.3	13.0	0.29
Anthony Tolliver	47	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	27	-29	14.2	12.6	1.56	13.1	13.2	-0.05
Georgios Papagiannis	62	60	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.19	11	14	-3	12.9	13.8	-0.85	13.1	13.2	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 75, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
GSW 86, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
SAC 117, DAL 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.3%