NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	135		Excitement	3.5 [1103]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (HOU): +23.9%
Sacramento Kings	128		Comeback	1.1 [1208]		LVP	Buddy Hield (SAC): -11.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.24	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.25	0.02	0.03	9	111%	0.24	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.02	0.03	8	100%	0.16	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Troy Williams	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	63%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	9	80%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	-0.01	-0.07	15	49%	0.05	3	-0.00	7	100%	0.02
Patrick Beverley	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04
Montrezl Harrell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chinanu Onuaku	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
James Harden	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	22	61%	0.13	10	-0.13	13	92%	0.02
Isaiah Taylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	12	57%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ty Lawson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	67%	0.10	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.20	0.00	0.14	12	83%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Georgios Papagiannis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	6	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	12	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.10	15	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	44%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	16	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	28.2	14.7	25.5	2.4	27.9	126.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +51.9%

HOU +6.9%

HOU +3.7%

SAC -13.3%

HOU +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	13.9	13.3	14.8	127.4	120.8	107.7
season	13.7	15.4		113.2	106.0
opponent	14.6	14.9		110.0	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.8	13.2	14.0	15.7	13.9
SAC	13.9	14.5	12.2	12.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	53	52	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.21	28	-21	49	13.1	14.7	-1.64	14.2	12.4	1.84
Lou Williams	68	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-7	21	14.1	13.6	0.52	13.5	12.8	0.77
James Harden	81	83	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	0	7	13.5	15.2	-1.68	12.9	14.4	-1.45
Troy Williams	82	82	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	4	-1	13.8	14.2	-0.43	12.8	14.7	-1.83
Bobby Brown	56	56	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	-2	11	13.7	14.2	-0.46	12.5	14.1	-1.60
Ryan Anderson	51	51	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	0	7	13.8	14.0	-0.14	13.7	12.8	0.87
Patrick Beverley	60	61	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	12	-17	14.6	13.0	1.62	14.1	12.0	2.10
Isaiah Taylor	26	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.27	-7	14	-21	14.0	13.9	0.06	13.5	13.2	0.32
Chinanu Onuaku	26	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	18	-29	15.7	13.3	2.30	12.5	13.5	-0.96
Montrezl Harrell	27	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.16	-10	17	-27	13.9	13.9	-0.08	12.2	13.6	-1.44

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georgios Papagiannis	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	2	-11	15.3	12.6	2.67	15.2	13.5	1.69
Langston Galloway	56	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.45	10	-17	27	13.2	13.3	-0.01	14.3	13.5	0.86
Skal Labissiere	69	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.51	12	-19	31	13.1	13.6	-0.48	13.8	14.2	-0.42
Ben McLemore	52	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-8	9	14.1	12.4	1.69	14.4	13.5	0.92
Anthony Tolliver	54	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	0	-7	13.0	13.6	-0.59	14.3	13.5	0.81
Buddy Hield	73	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	3	-13	13.2	13.3	-0.03	13.2	15.7	-2.49
Garrett Temple	77	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.26	-3	-4	1	13.1	13.7	-0.65	14.4	12.4	2.02
Ty Lawson	66	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	6	-19	12.7	14.1	-1.36	13.3	14.8	-1.49
Willie Cauley-Stein	57	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.10	-16	9	-25	12.9	13.7	-0.82	13.2	14.7	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 97, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
MIN 116, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.5%
ORL 108, NJN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%