NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	92		Excitement	6.4 [561]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +15.3%
Dallas Mavericks	91		Comeback	302.0 [10]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (DAL): -39.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,0.15	0.06	0.17	0.07	30	57%	0.30	6	-0.15	5	100%	0.03
Doug McDermott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.01	15	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.03	10	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semaj Christon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	6	37%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	4	73%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	13	52%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	9	40%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.03	-0.13	-0.01	7	71%	0.14	3	-0.23	3	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.4	-0.40	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	14	33%	-0.39	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	28.5	15.8	25.2	2.4	34.9	136.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +40.4%

OKC +4.4%

OKC +7.1%

DAL -4.6%

OKC +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DAL	NBA	OKC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.1	16.8	14.8	98.9	97.8	107.7
season	14.0	16.2		107.0	104.4
opponent	14.7	15.1		107.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.8	14.0	13.6	14.1	14.1
DAL	15.9	15.4	17.7	18.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	47	49	1.17	-0.67	1.84	0.38	27	-26	53	13.0	15.3	-2.30	17.8	15.8	2.00
Russell Westbrook	70	72	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.46	12	-11	23	13.4	16.3	-2.90	16.8	16.9	-0.01
Victor Oladipo	73	73	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.44	12	-11	23	14.0	14.6	-0.68	16.8	16.9	-0.13
Steven Adams	56	56	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-8	17	14.1	14.2	-0.07	17.4	15.9	1.50
Doug McDermott	26	26	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.55	-7	8	-15	14.8	13.9	0.90	15.3	17.5	-2.19
Andre Roberson	69	67	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	-7	15	13.6	15.6	-1.97	17.9	14.1	3.85
Jerami Grant	28	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.27	-10	11	-21	15.3	13.6	1.72	16.2	17.1	-0.94
Alex Abrines	13	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	8	-15	15.8	13.8	1.92	15.7	17.0	-1.26
Nick Collison	12	13	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.05	-9	10	-19	16.2	13.8	2.45	14.3	17.3	-2.95
Enes Kanter	33	34	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.04	-13	14	-27	14.8	13.7	1.08	15.9	17.4	-1.48
Semaj Christon	38	38	-0.53	1.03	-1.55	-0.03	-17	18	-35	14.9	13.6	1.36	16.5	17.1	-0.59

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salah Mejri	31	33	0.46	-0.96	1.41	-0.04	17	-18	35	16.3	17.1	-0.89	15.7	13.2	2.45
J.J. Barea	55	52	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.15	8	-9	17	17.0	16.7	0.32	14.6	13.5	1.13
Dirk Nowitzki	50	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	9	-19	16.2	17.6	-1.45	14.4	13.8	0.65
Devin Harris	54	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.54	9	-10	19	17.2	16.4	0.76	14.4	13.7	0.73
Dorian Finney-Smith	29	28	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.81	7	-8	15	15.3	17.6	-2.29	15.7	13.4	2.33
Wesley Matthews	73	73	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.44	-11	10	-21	17.2	15.4	1.85	13.4	16.7	-3.35
Harrison Barnes	70	71	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.48	-10	9	-19	17.3	15.6	1.71	13.5	16.0	-2.46
Nerlens Noel	57	54	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.41	-14	13	-27	17.1	16.5	0.62	13.4	15.1	-1.70
Yogi Ferrell	62	64	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.44	-15	14	-29	17.3	15.9	1.47	13.3	15.9	-2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.81,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.98,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 76, NYK 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.74,0	89.0%
MIA 83, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.77,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.94,0.59,0	88.8%
POR 108, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.85,0.97,0.85,0	88.7%