NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	3.1 [1169]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +29.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	1.1 [1124]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -3.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.05	11	59%	0.10	2	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	59%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.07	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Kris Dunn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	-0.00	0.08	13	65%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.07	6	68%	-0.00	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Tyus Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	17%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	19	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.24	0.03	-0.02	13	100%	0.32	4	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	13	72%	0.11	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	14	47%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	28.5	15.3	22.7	2.7	27.3	122.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +53.3%

MIN -7.9%

POR +3.2%

POR +1.4%

MIN -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	14.8	108.7	121.7	107.7
season	15.3	14.9		109.3	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.8	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.2	16.5	17.2	14.2	16.0
POR	13.8	16.2	14.1	17.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Aldrich	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-18	24	12.0	16.4	-4.45	18.3	15.0	3.37
Adreian Payne	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-24	36	13.8	16.4	-2.52	19.0	14.6	4.37
Tyus Jones	44	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-16	20	15.4	16.6	-1.20	16.7	14.0	2.75
Shabazz Muhammad	39	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-14	16	14.9	16.8	-1.89	17.1	14.1	2.94
Brandon Rush	29	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-6	0	17.9	15.2	2.70	13.3	16.2	-2.95
Omri Casspi	36	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.25	-16	4	-20	15.6	16.2	-0.61	15.6	15.1	0.47
Ricky Rubio	48	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-1	-10	16.7	15.2	1.55	14.3	16.5	-2.20
Andrew Wiggins	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	2	-16	16.3	15.4	0.89	14.2	17.5	-3.22
Gorgui Dieng	65	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-4	-4	16.4	15.0	1.38	14.7	16.9	-2.23
Karl-Anthony Towns	61	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	6	-24	16.9	14.4	2.50	14.5	16.8	-2.33
Kris Dunn	55	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-1	-10	15.3	17.0	-1.70	16.1	14.1	2.07

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	57	58	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.15	21	-9	30	14.4	16.7	-2.25	16.5	15.1	1.37
Maurice Harkless	52	51	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.12	20	-8	28	13.7	17.4	-3.73	17.2	14.6	2.57
Damian Lillard	56	55	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	-3	18	14.1	17.2	-3.17	17.0	14.5	2.55
Al-Farouq Aminu	50	49	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.04	12	0	12	16.4	14.0	2.42	15.8	16.3	-0.50
Jusuf Nurkic	44	45	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	-1	14	13.5	17.0	-3.52	17.3	14.7	2.59
Noah Vonleh	45	46	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	10	-8	14.2	16.3	-2.10	16.1	15.9	0.24
Allen Crabbe	40	40	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	4	4	15.6	15.0	0.59	15.4	16.5	-1.13
Evan Turner	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	8	-4	16.8	14.2	2.56	15.7	16.2	-0.46
Meyers Leonard	40	40	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.29	-8	20	-28	17.4	13.7	3.73	14.2	17.4	-3.16
Pat Connaughton	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	19	-26	18.0	15.1	2.90	11.0	16.4	-5.36
Jake Layman	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	19	-26	18.0	15.1	2.90	11.0	16.4	-5.36
Shabazz Napier	25	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.37	-13	25	-38	18.8	14.0	4.87	14.8	16.5	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 66, POR 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
VAN 76, LAL 98	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
DAL 96, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%