NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Excitement	6.5 [545]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (CHA): +19.3%
Charlotte Hornets	105		Comeback	1.9 [412]		LVP	Frank Kaminsky (CHA): -20.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JR Smith	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.11	0.01	5	90%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.03	14	73%	0.32	4	-0.15	16	87%	0.04
Kyle Korver	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	22	57%	0.13	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.05	0.02	12	76%	0.26	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.03	6	79%	0.12	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.06
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	0.00	0.08	-0.07	0.00	20	64%	0.11	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.03
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	41%	0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Briante Weber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.10	0.01	18	49%	-0.03	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.05	-0.00	9	0%	-0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	27.1	15.4	31.3	1.8	37.2	141.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +67.8%

CLE +1.4%

CHA -17.5%

CHA -4.3%

CLE +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.8	14.8	119.1	112.9	107.7
season	14.9	15.1		113.5	107.9
opponent	14.8	14.7		107.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.7	14.3	16.3	15.7	15.0
CHA	16.9	16.4	15.7	14.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	29	29	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-8	23	14.9	15.0	-0.15	17.0	15.3	1.73
Iman Shumpert	49	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	-7	21	14.4	15.7	-1.32	16.4	15.2	1.23
Kyle Korver	40	40	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	0	7	14.8	15.1	-0.26	15.3	16.2	-0.80
LeBron James	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.33	1	6	-5	15.3	13.7	1.58	16.0	14.9	1.06
Deron Williams	29	29	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	-1	9	14.3	15.3	-1.00	17.1	15.2	1.88
Kyrie Irving	75	73	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	7	-7	14.9	15.4	-0.46	15.5	17.0	-1.52
JR Smith	62	61	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	11	-15	15.2	14.6	0.66	15.0	17.3	-2.30
Tristan Thompson	51	49	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.05	2	5	-3	15.4	14.6	0.77	16.6	15.0	1.57
Kevin Love	58	59	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.32	-8	15	-23	15.2	14.6	0.59	14.8	17.6	-2.85

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	31	33	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.10	5	-12	17	17.8	14.8	3.05	15.2	14.9	0.28
Kemba Walker	75	77	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.36	12	-19	31	15.2	18.3	-3.13	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Nicolas Batum	68	69	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.37	11	-18	29	15.1	17.7	-2.62	14.9	15.2	-0.22
Cody Zeller	62	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-10	13	15.4	16.6	-1.21	15.3	14.3	1.06
Jeremy Lamb	22	22	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	8	-23	17.5	15.3	2.22	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Marvin Williams	79	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	0	-7	15.2	19.1	-3.93	14.6	17.1	-2.49
Frank Kaminsky	45	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	3	-13	17.4	14.3	3.09	15.2	14.8	0.47
Briante Weber	18	17	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.06	-19	12	-31	18.3	15.2	3.13	15.4	14.9	0.50
Marco Belinelli	65	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	8	-23	15.0	17.7	-2.68	15.0	15.0	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.33,0.25,0.06,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 93, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.19,0.1,0.02,0.02,0	92.7%
DEN 117, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.29,0.36,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.09,0	92.4%
MEM 102, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.22,0.16,0.28,0.08,0.04,0.11,0,0	92.2%