NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	86		Excitement	5.5 [719]		MVP	Dante Cunningham (NOP): +15.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	109		Comeback	1.4 [805]		LVP	Jon Leuer (DET): -12.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.02	-0.03	10	60%	0.13	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Ish Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	10	10%	-0.12
Marcus Morris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	12	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	23%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.02	-0.05	16	25%	-0.10	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	0.06	23	48%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.04	0.04	8	89%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.06	-0.05	18	61%	0.21	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.20	-0.02	0.09	17	73%	0.14	2	-0.06	11	100%	0.04
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	10	52%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	3	62%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	0.04
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	5	33%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	25.2	15.4	27.9	1.8	23.2	121.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +58.6%

NOP +26.3%

DET -22.9%

DET -12.8%

NOP +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NOP	NBA	DET	NOP	NBA
this game	15.7	15.3	14.8	93.5	116.0	107.7
season	15.0	14.1		105.0	104.1
opponent	15.0	15.1		106.2	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	14.2	17.0	16.6	15.7
NOP	14.4	16.4	14.3	16.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Bullock	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-17	11	11.6	15.9	-4.31	16.8	15.2	1.64
Stanley Johnson	44	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-19	15	14.9	16.4	-1.51	16.0	14.7	1.32
Aron Baynes	26	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-21	19	15.3	15.8	-0.46	14.9	15.5	-0.57
Tobias Harris	52	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.25	-15	-8	-7	14.5	17.2	-2.74	15.3	15.3	0.01
Reggie Jackson	55	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.19	-15	-8	-7	16.0	15.2	0.86	15.2	15.4	-0.21
Ish Smith	37	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-15	7	15.2	16.0	-0.86	15.4	15.2	0.21
Jon Leuer	74	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	-7	-9	15.9	14.8	1.05	15.4	14.8	0.63
Andre Drummond	56	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-12	1	16.0	15.1	0.88	15.4	15.2	0.23
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	64	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-6	-11	15.8	15.3	0.51	15.1	15.8	-0.77
Marcus Morris	47	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.04	-21	-2	-19	17.4	13.9	3.54	14.7	16.0	-1.26

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	52	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	7	9	15.0	15.7	-0.75	16.0	15.2	0.86
Jrue Holiday	54	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.29	25	-2	27	15.5	15.0	0.56	17.2	13.2	4.03
Dante Cunningham	64	62	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	4	15	15.3	15.2	0.14	15.9	15.2	0.75
Anthony Davis	69	68	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.16	19	4	15	15.7	14.3	1.33	16.7	12.7	3.96
Hollis Thompson	76	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	6	11	15.4	14.8	0.64	16.2	13.5	2.63
E'Twaun Moore	54	50	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.20	15	8	7	15.1	15.6	-0.53	14.6	17.0	-2.35
Alexis Ajinca	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	14	-5	15.0	15.5	-0.54	15.0	16.1	-1.10
Jarrett Jack	16	15	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	22	-21	16.6	15.0	1.52	13.3	16.1	-2.80
Tim Frazier	30	27	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	28	-33	14.9	15.5	-0.63	13.6	16.5	-2.89
Cheick Diallo	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	17.2	15.2	2.04	9.3	15.9	-6.55
Donatas Motiejunas	13	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	25	-27	13.5	15.6	-2.04	12.5	16.2	-3.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, NOP 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
TOR 101, CLE 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.76,0.86,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
DAL 109, UTA 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%