NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	95		Excitement	6.2 [603]		MVP	Solomon Hill (NOP): +32.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	91		Comeback	1.9 [171]		LVP	Tony Allen (MEM): -13.0%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Solomon Hill	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.21	0.12	0.01	11	88%	0.32	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.09	-0.06	0.14	-0.01	20	45%	0.15	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	13	63%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.07
Donatas Motiejunas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.01	3	60%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Langston Galloway	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	60%	0.09	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	9	42%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	16	45%	0.09	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	11	57%	0.06	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.02
JaMychal Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	35%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	7	28%	-0.00	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	17	41%	-0.02	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	26.4	15.4	26.3	2.0	42.1	136.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +67.9%

MEM -14.9%

MEM -22.8%

NOP +19.4%

NOP +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MEM	NBA	NOP	MEM	NBA
this game	14.3	16.1	14.8	101.1	95.8	107.7
season	14.1	16.1		104.1	106.4
opponent	14.9	15.0		106.7	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.1	12.0	15.9	14.7	14.3
MEM	17.6	15.1	16.1	16.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	62	62	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-7	18	14.1	14.8	-0.73	17.7	13.2	4.43
Solomon Hill	71	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	-5	14	14.7	13.0	1.70	15.7	17.3	-1.60
Donatas Motiejunas	46	46	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	0	4	13.9	14.8	-0.90	14.7	17.5	-2.88
Anthony Davis	76	75	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.35	1	3	-2	14.4	13.8	0.61	16.8	13.5	3.34
Buddy Hield	33	33	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	-7	18	15.5	13.7	1.73	18.3	15.0	3.27
Alexis Ajinca	66	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	2	0	14.5	13.9	0.62	16.7	14.7	2.02
Tyreke Evans	54	57	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.30	-7	11	-18	14.2	14.4	-0.21	15.3	17.4	-2.18
E'Twaun Moore	39	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.26	-7	11	-18	13.9	14.6	-0.74	12.9	18.4	-5.50
Langston Galloway	23	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	8	-12	13.0	14.7	-1.70	16.7	15.9	0.76

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	29	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-1	-2	13.4	17.3	-3.97	13.8	14.5	-0.72
Troy Daniels	18	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-3	2	16.4	16.1	0.31	15.6	14.0	1.52
Marc Gasol	70	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.50	11	-15	26	16.4	15.5	0.84	14.4	14.0	0.38
James Ennis III	33	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	0	-4	15.8	16.3	-0.49	13.5	14.8	-1.31
Chandler Parsons	36	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	2	-8	17.4	15.4	2.06	15.2	13.8	1.39
Tony Allen	39	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	2	-8	17.2	15.4	1.77	13.7	14.8	-1.13
Toney Douglas	46	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-5	6	15.5	16.7	-1.15	14.4	14.2	0.19
Vince Carter	49	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.34	2	-6	8	15.4	16.9	-1.46	14.4	14.3	0.12
Mike Conley	65	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-5	6	15.6	17.2	-1.60	14.2	14.6	-0.34
JaMychal Green	41	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	5	-14	17.8	14.9	2.89	15.4	13.6	1.85
Zach Randolph	49	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	2	-8	16.4	15.9	0.48	13.6	15.1	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 113, NJN 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.26,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.06,0.1,0.04,0,0	93.8%
TOR 74, IND 72	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.15,0	93.7%
ORL 101, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0	93.5%