NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	112		Excitement	3.5 [1114]		MVP	Gerald Green (BOS): +14.1%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	1.1 [482]		LVP	George Hill (UTA): -6.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.00	0.00	8	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	11	79%	0.14	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
James Young	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.14	0.00	0.09	16	71%	0.12	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.00
Al Horford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	76%	0.07	4	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jaylen Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	36%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Smart	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.19	-0.01	0.14	19	69%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	35%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	10	56%	-0.01	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.16	16	56%	-0.04	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	28.4	15.4	25.6	2.5	38.2	139.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +72.2%

UTA -14.0%

UTA -7.5%

UTA -2.9%

BOS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	14.8	120.4	109.5	107.7
season	14.7	16.1		110.1	108.0
opponent	15.0	14.9		105.0	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.0	15.9	15.1	14.2	14.5
UTA	17.0	17.5	16.8	13.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	67	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	0	8	13.9	15.9	-1.98	16.4	15.4	1.00
Jonas Jerebko	37	39	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-3	14	16.3	13.3	3.04	16.1	16.1	-0.04
Isaiah Thomas	71	71	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	0	8	13.8	16.6	-2.75	16.2	15.9	0.34
Gerald Green	42	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-2	12	14.8	14.2	0.57	16.7	15.6	1.08
Kelly Olynyk	55	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	8	-8	14.3	14.8	-0.54	15.6	16.8	-1.25
Terry Rozier	44	47	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	-1	10	15.1	13.9	1.17	15.1	17.1	-1.93
Jaylen Brown	22	22	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	-1	10	13.4	14.8	-1.42	19.0	15.3	3.68
James Young	28	28	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.31	-4	12	-16	15.4	14.1	1.29	15.2	16.5	-1.34
Marcus Smart	73	74	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.40	-8	16	-24	14.5	14.4	0.06	15.6	17.8	-2.16
Amir Johnson	26	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	11	-14	13.9	14.7	-0.79	17.0	15.8	1.27

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	11	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	-2	-4	17.5	15.9	1.60	14.5	14.5	0.01
Dante Exum	11	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-6	4	15.4	16.2	-0.86	15.8	14.3	1.54
Alec Burks	35	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.19	-12	4	-16	16.5	15.9	0.66	15.0	14.2	0.74
Derrick Favors	51	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.15	-11	3	-14	17.3	14.8	2.44	14.6	14.4	0.18
Boris Diaw	11	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-2	-4	17.1	16.0	1.09	17.5	14.1	3.36
Joe Johnson	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	3	-14	16.2	16.1	0.16	15.8	13.7	2.05
Trey Lyles	48	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-6	4	14.7	17.6	-2.82	13.2	15.7	-2.48
Rudy Gobert	67	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.44	4	-12	16	16.0	16.3	-0.28	14.3	15.1	-0.81
George Hill	73	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-8	8	16.0	16.5	-0.43	13.9	16.2	-2.23
Gordon Hayward	73	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-10	12	16.1	16.1	0.05	14.7	13.8	0.88
Joe Ingles	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.45	4	-12	16	15.9	16.5	-0.66	14.2	15.0	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 118, VAN 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
CHA 91, GSW 75	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DAL 106, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%