NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	140		Excitement	14.0 [4]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +65.5%
Washington Wizards	135		Comeback	25.5 [57]		LVP	Kay Felder (CLE): -6.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.66	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.36,0.52,0.52,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66	0.14	0.47	-0.04	18	78%	0.86	6	-0.21	5	40%	-0.04
Kevin Love	0.64	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.64	0.28	0.39	0.03	17	87%	0.78	4	-0.14	11	100%	0.12
Kyle Korver	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.00	0.30	-0.02	9	68%	0.42	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.13	-0.00	13	73%	0.28	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.08
Kyrie Irving	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.28,-0.28,-0.4,-0.16,0.13	-0.07	0.21	0.01	24	43%	0.20	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.08
Richard Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kay Felder	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.8,0.62	0.62	0.28	0.36	0.01	28	69%	0.62	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.21	0.16	0.00	11	93%	0.42	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.00	0.28	-0.00	12	54%	0.34	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.15	-0.00	13	53%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.01	10	50%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.05	0.01	19	50%	0.19	6	-0.23	6	100%	0.08
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.0	3.4	24.6	17.7	28.2	3.3	45.7	2.7	19.2	171.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +71.7%

CLE +2.0%

CLE +15.6%

WAS -25.7%

WAS -13.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	13.9	14.8	127.3	120.5	107.7
season	14.9	14.4		113.5	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.7		108.7	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	15.4	14.6	16.7	13.4	13.3	14.7
WAS	12.9	16.7	14.7	12.4	12.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	48	48	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.56	8	-3	11	13.1	16.0	-2.84	13.3	14.4	-1.05
Kevin Love	85	87	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-1	7	15.5	12.2	3.35	13.5	15.4	-1.87
Kyrie Irving	89	90	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.35	5	0	5	15.6	11.1	4.45	13.7	14.9	-1.19
Tristan Thompson	83	84	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	-1	7	15.8	11.4	4.42	13.9	14.1	-0.21
Kyle Korver	66	68	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.35	-2	7	-9	14.0	15.9	-1.98	13.1	15.2	-2.17
Iman Shumpert	45	45	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	1	3	16.4	13.6	2.88	15.4	12.9	2.49
Channing Frye	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	6	-7	11.4	15.8	-4.42	14.1	13.9	0.21
Kay Felder	21	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	5	-5	11.1	15.6	-4.45	14.9	13.7	1.19
LeBron James	86	88	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.23	-1	6	-7	14.6	15.2	-0.65	14.5	11.6	2.96

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	63	65	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.45	0	-5	5	14.1	13.7	0.46	14.3	15.3	-0.99
Trey Burke	14	13	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.01	4	-9	13	13.1	14.0	-0.88	13.9	14.9	-0.93
Jason Smith	36	34	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-6	7	14.2	13.8	0.46	13.3	15.4	-2.10
Kelly Oubre Jr.	61	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.48	9	-14	23	13.9	13.9	0.05	14.4	15.1	-0.63
Marcin Gortat	77	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	2	-9	13.9	13.8	0.12	15.5	13.0	2.54
Bradley Beal	95	93	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	1	-7	14.0	13.2	0.80	15.0	13.6	1.37
John Wall	91	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	1	-7	13.7	14.9	-1.16	15.5	11.5	3.97
Tomas Satoransky	29	28	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	1	-7	13.2	14.1	-0.90	11.9	15.7	-3.78
Otto Porter	94	92	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.44	-14	9	-23	14.0	13.3	0.69	15.2	12.6	2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.45,0.72,0.24,0.08,0.5,0.69,0.72,0.57,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 85, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.42,0	88.6%
LAL 90, UTA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.05,0.16,0.46,0.75,0.63,0.45,0.26,0	87.7%
MIN 92, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	87.6%