NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	8.2 [229]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +53.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	114		Comeback	4.3 [302]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (OKC): -20.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.48	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48	0.14	0.30	-0.04	24	61%	0.50	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.10	0.00	14	50%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Troy Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Conley	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	16	49%	-0.06	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.45,0.54,0.53	0.53	0.15	0.42	0.04	20	67%	0.67	5	-0.13	17	100%	0.15
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.11	0.00	7	94%	0.28	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	7	100%	0.32	3	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	13	50%	-0.05	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.07
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	14	25%	-0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	30.7	15.3	29.5	2.3	34.6	139.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +22.4%

OKC +11.3%

OKC +52.5%

MEM -33.2%

MEM -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	OKC	NBA	MEM	OKC	NBA
this game	16.1	13.8	14.8	105.2	118.8	107.7
season	16.1	14.0		106.4	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.9		106.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.3	14.4	15.9	16.7	16.1
OKC	10.8	14.4	15.4	14.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Harrison	26	26	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.13	3	-15	18	17.6	15.5	2.07	15.5	13.1	2.32
JaMychal Green	47	47	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-14	16	17.3	14.9	2.36	13.8	13.8	-0.01
Troy Daniels	2	2	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-16	20	11.5	16.2	-4.66	2.0	14.0	-12.02
Chandler Parsons	52	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-9	6	15.5	16.7	-1.13	13.6	13.9	-0.26
James Ennis III	45	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-3	-6	16.2	15.9	0.30	13.3	14.2	-0.81
Vince Carter	38	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-6	0	16.0	16.1	-0.14	13.9	13.7	0.21
Marc Gasol	86	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-4	-4	15.7	19.0	-3.31	13.7	14.5	-0.83
Tony Allen	59	56	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	-1	-10	16.5	15.4	1.01	14.4	12.9	1.45
Zach Randolph	58	58	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.05	-19	7	-26	15.9	16.2	-0.28	14.3	12.9	1.36
Mike Conley	72	72	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.28	-13	1	-14	15.4	18.0	-2.61	13.0	16.1	-3.08

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	77	76	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.28	17	-5	22	13.6	14.6	-1.01	15.8	17.0	-1.20
Anthony Morrow	39	41	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-2	16	13.5	14.0	-0.52	15.5	16.5	-0.95
Steven Adams	87	87	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.18	16	-4	20	14.1	10.1	4.04	16.3	13.7	2.63
Joffrey Lauvergne	60	60	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.14	17	-5	22	13.1	14.8	-1.66	15.2	17.5	-2.26
Victor Oladipo	67	67	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	3	6	14.4	12.3	2.14	16.6	14.9	1.68
Andre Roberson	45	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	14	-16	12.2	15.2	-2.96	15.2	16.8	-1.61
Cameron Payne	37	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.18	2	10	-8	14.0	13.6	0.42	16.6	15.7	0.86
Jerami Grant	25	27	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.07	-3	15	-18	15.2	13.3	1.88	16.7	15.8	0.89
Nick Collison	20	23	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.15	-1	13	-14	15.3	13.4	1.99	16.5	15.9	0.60
Domantas Sabonis	23	23	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.03	-9	21	-30	13.0	14.0	-0.96	17.2	15.7	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.78,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 87, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.98,1	90.4%
PHX 112, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.45,0.55,0.9,0.95,1	90.3%
SAS 84, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.38,0.44,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.4,0.29,0.45,0.9,0.96,1	90.3%