NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	97		Excitement	7.4 [385]		MVP	TJ McConnell (PHI): +63.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	125.6 [14]		LVP	Sergio Rodriguez (PHI): -19.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.27	0.11	0.17	0.01	16	69%	0.31	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.09	0.02	25	52%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	83%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	6	54%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	6	75%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	10	35%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
TJ McConnell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.63	0.63	0.01	0.64	0.01	6	67%	0.69	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.06	0.02	10	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	65%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	8	65%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.1,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.05	20	45%	0.03	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	16	42%	-0.04	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.2	30.5	16.3	24.6	2.5	33.3	132.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +14.2%

PHI +10.3%

PHI +21.9%

NYK -1.6%

PHI +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	13.4	14.8	100.0	101.0	107.7
season	15.0	14.5		106.6	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.7		107.6	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	15.5	16.2	18.5	16.3
PHI	13.5	12.2	13.7	14.3	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	32	32	0.54	-1.04	1.58	0.04	17	-18	35	15.3	16.8	-1.52	14.5	12.8	1.70
Kyle O'Quinn	45	48	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.06	10	-11	21	16.3	16.3	-0.02	13.9	12.9	1.04
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	21	21	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.05	7	-8	15	15.0	16.7	-1.66	14.0	13.2	0.72
Willy Hernangomez	6	6	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-3	5	15.0	16.4	-1.38	13.8	13.4	0.47
Joakim Noah	43	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.18	-9	8	-17	17.0	15.7	1.30	13.0	13.7	-0.68
Lance Thomas	38	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.51	13	-14	27	16.3	16.3	-0.02	14.9	12.4	2.47
Courtney Lee	55	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	11	-23	16.6	15.9	0.78	12.8	14.2	-1.37
Brandon Jennings	50	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.49	5	-6	11	16.4	16.2	0.21	13.4	13.3	0.09
Kristaps Porzingis	60	59	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.66	-4	3	-7	16.2	16.5	-0.26	12.7	14.4	-1.74
Carmelo Anthony	73	74	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.54	-13	12	-25	16.3	16.4	-0.16	13.0	14.5	-1.48
Derrick Rose	62	63	-1.15	0.65	-1.79	-0.53	-21	20	-41	16.7	15.7	1.00	13.1	14.0	-0.94

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	58	57	0.94	-0.44	1.39	0.68	9	-8	17	12.6	14.5	-1.92	16.3	16.3	0.04
Robert Covington	64	64	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.60	11	-10	21	13.8	12.6	1.24	16.7	15.5	1.28
Ersan Ilyasova	63	64	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.61	9	-8	17	12.4	15.3	-2.93	16.7	15.5	1.19
TJ McConnell	70	70	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.67	2	-1	3	13.1	14.0	-0.89	16.6	15.6	1.03
Gerald Henderson	53	53	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.53	4	-3	7	12.3	14.7	-2.32	16.0	16.7	-0.70
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	26	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.12	-1	2	-3	11.9	13.9	-2.01	15.3	16.7	-1.35
Nik Stauskas	45	45	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.08	-4	5	-9	14.6	12.4	2.17	16.6	16.1	0.48
Sergio Rodriguez	27	27	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.20	-1	2	-3	14.0	13.1	0.89	15.6	16.6	-1.03
Nerlens Noel	39	40	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.21	-8	9	-17	14.5	12.6	1.92	16.3	16.3	-0.04
Dario Saric	40	39	-0.60	1.10	-1.70	-0.13	-16	17	-33	15.4	12.0	3.37	15.7	16.7	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.17,1	91.2%
DET 111, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.27,1	90.4%
CHI 84, TOR 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.1,0.15,1	90.3%