inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 114 Excitement10.0 [67] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +55.5%
Milwaukee Bucks 108 Comeback3.2 [458] LVPKyrie Irving (CLE): -14.9%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.560,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.560.140.42-0.002561%0.582-0.03683%0.01
Richard Jefferson0.200,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,0.07,0.2,0.20.000.200.00747%0.231-0.033100%0.08
Channing Frye0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.02-0.001162%0.1100.002100%0.02
DeAndre Liggins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.02-0.00275%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Tristan Thompson0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.01-0.01759%0.062-0.05367%-0.01
JR Smith0.010,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01650%0.0100.0000%0.00
James Jones0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.010.00050%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Mike Dunleavy-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.01275%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Iman Shumpert-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.03-0.100.00833%-0.1400.00250%-0.01
Kyrie Irving-0.150,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.14,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.150.03-0.19-0.012351%-0.082-0.069100%0.08

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.30.300.090.21-0.001361%0.352-0.041587%0.05
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.150.150.020.140.01757%0.181-0.0300%0.00
Jabari Parker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.090.090.090.020.022553%0.0900.00757%-0.20
John Henson0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.00-0.01770%0.103-0.07667%-0.01
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.030.01555%0.021-0.0610%-0.01
Mirza Teletovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.040.02950%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.040.00650%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Matthew Dellavedova0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.031040%-0.024-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game20.22.430.815.725.42.735.52.719.4154.8
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.52.217.9136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL -4.0%
CLE +27.8%
CLE +4.8%
CLE +17.4%
CLE +4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMILNBACLEMILNBA
this game17.014.014.8110.7105.9107.7
season14.914.9113.5107.4
opponent15.314.7107.8109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CLE16.615.816.021.314.517.0
MIL14.013.014.014.715.514.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Iman Shumpert62600.78-0.281.060.4910-41416.917.1-0.1514.912.72.20
Channing Frye48500.61-0.110.720.2612-61816.117.7-1.5613.714.3-0.65
LeBron James91910.490.010.490.268-21017.314.72.5214.212.51.66
DeAndre Liggins40410.340.160.190.147-1816.017.6-1.5213.814.2-0.46
Kyrie Irving87850.320.180.130.2915-417.116.11.0114.213.40.74
Richard Jefferson68680.100.40-0.300.22-410-1417.316.40.8413.714.8-1.10
Mike Dunleavy2929-0.000.50-0.51-0.0624-216.517.2-0.6413.614.2-0.57
Tristan Thompson5048-0.020.52-0.530.07-39-1217.916.21.7114.413.70.69
JR Smith3534-0.040.54-0.58-0.0406-616.817.1-0.2313.114.5-1.46
James Jones54-0.080.58-0.660.01-39-1216.217.0-0.8213.714.0-0.29

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Henson44440.43-0.931.350.198-142212.515.2-2.7316.417.4-1.04
Giannis Antetokounmpo85840.30-0.801.100.213-91214.213.21.0217.315.41.98
Tony Snell7676-0.08-0.420.35-0.163-91214.313.11.2317.714.92.83
Greg Monroe3232-0.17-0.330.16-0.201-7815.313.41.9219.016.12.88
Jabari Parker8788-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.403-91214.014.5-0.5117.414.33.10
Matthew Dellavedova7577-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.23-3-3014.213.60.5917.216.40.75
Mirza Teletovic3639-0.510.01-0.52-0.10-148-2214.213.90.3415.917.7-1.78
Jason Terry2526-0.560.06-0.61-0.15-148-2214.313.90.3813.818.1-4.30
Malcolm Brogdon4039-0.780.28-1.05-0.45-115-1612.814.8-1.9416.317.4-1.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.02,0.04,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 114, BKN 1130.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.16,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.59,088.7%
DAL 95, POR 890.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.32,0.22,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.43,0.42,088.5%
LAL 106, PHI 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.2,0.02,0.02,0.01,087.7%