NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	7.8 [303]		MVP	James Young (BOS): +24.1%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	3.3 [375]		LVP	CJ Miles (IND): -16.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Young	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.12	0.12	0.00	6	100%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16	0.06	0.14	0.03	13	56%	0.21	2	-0.05	15	93%	0.06
Terry Rozier	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	69%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Smart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	11	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tyler Zeller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	11	54%	0.15	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.04	8	64%	0.07	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Kelly Olynyk	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	13	53%	0.04	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Jonas Jerebko	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	4	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.10	0.03	8	81%	0.24	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.04
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	56%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Joe Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	10	56%	0.02	3	-0.14	7	57%	-0.06
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.11	0.04	15	48%	-0.09	2	-0.07	12	92%	0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.09	0.05	10	40%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	29.2	15.5	31.4	2.5	41.2	144.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.4%

BOS +12.9%

IND -5.8%

BOS +2.7%

IND -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	14.5	15.7	14.8	109.4	104.2	107.7
season	14.7	14.9		110.1	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.9		108.0	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.0	15.8	12.6	14.6	14.5
IND	14.4	16.9	15.6	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	39	38	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	-6	18	14.8	14.2	0.61	17.2	14.7	2.55
Marcus Smart	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	1	4	14.1	15.4	-1.37	15.0	17.7	-2.73
Terry Rozier	38	37	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-8	22	16.4	13.2	3.16	18.5	13.9	4.64
Amir Johnson	65	64	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.38	-1	7	-8	14.6	14.3	0.30	14.4	18.4	-3.98
James Young	33	31	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	-1	8	14.6	14.4	0.18	16.2	15.5	0.68
Tyler Zeller	29	30	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	1	4	14.5	14.4	0.08	17.8	14.7	3.06
Avery Bradley	73	72	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	6	-6	14.2	15.3	-1.11	15.5	16.4	-0.91
Isaiah Thomas	64	63	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.38	-7	13	-20	13.7	16.0	-2.31	14.3	18.4	-4.12
Jaylen Brown	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	7	-8	16.2	14.2	1.95	18.6	15.3	3.29
Kelly Olynyk	58	58	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	10	-14	14.1	15.1	-1.03	15.1	16.7	-1.68

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	50	51	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.04	6	-12	18	13.8	17.8	-3.98	14.3	14.6	-0.27
Joe Young	4	3	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-4	2	8.7	16.0	-7.26	11.7	14.5	-2.88
CJ Miles	65	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-9	12	14.9	17.4	-2.43	14.8	13.8	0.96
Myles Turner	61	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-6	6	14.4	18.1	-3.76	14.4	14.6	-0.29
Jeff Teague	74	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-9	12	15.0	18.2	-3.25	14.1	15.8	-1.76
Glenn Robinson	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	3	-12	18.2	13.1	5.06	14.6	14.3	0.37
Al Jefferson	31	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	0	-6	19.0	14.1	4.84	14.9	14.3	0.64
Monta Ellis	69	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-5	4	14.8	18.0	-3.21	14.1	15.6	-1.50
Aaron Brooks	25	26	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	6	-18	18.6	14.7	3.87	15.8	13.9	1.90
Lavoy Allen	48	49	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.28	-12	6	-18	17.3	14.1	3.16	14.4	14.5	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 107, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.04,0.05,0.15,0.06,0.08,0	92.2%
CLE 92, CHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0	92.0%
DEN 112, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	91.8%