NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	80		Excitement	2.2 [1269]		MVP	Gorgui Dieng (MIN): +9.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	116		Comeback	1.2 [1072]		LVP	Wade Baldwin (MEM): -9.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Williams	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	67%	0.06	3	-0.02	7	86%	-0.00
Deyonta Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.00	0.09	8	81%	0.04	1	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	41%	-0.03	2	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	7	55%	-0.02	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
James Ennis	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	8	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Wade Baldwin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	8	40%	-0.01	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	9	85%	0.11	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.19	-0.00	0.13	18	77%	0.12	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	62%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.05	11	63%	-0.01	3	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	10	46%	-0.02	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	27.5	15.3	29.5	2.5	29.6	131.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +34.6%

MIN +0.3%

MIN +0.8%

MIN +13.2%

MIN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	15.2	14.1	14.8	80.8	118.4	107.7
season	16.1	15.3		106.4	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.9		110.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.9	15.0	15.0	16.0	15.2
MIN	11.2	13.8	13.8	18.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Daniels	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-38	40	16.0	14.9	1.05	18.3	12.9	5.38
Deyonta Davis	53	54	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.24	-9	-27	18	13.9	16.6	-2.64	15.2	12.6	2.63
Vince Carter	30	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-38	40	14.1	15.6	-1.49	13.7	14.2	-0.55
Tony Allen	39	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.22	-12	-24	12	15.5	15.0	0.52	13.2	14.6	-1.48
James Ennis	44	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.42	-20	-16	-4	15.5	14.9	0.55	13.4	14.6	-1.26
Troy Williams	63	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.36	-19	-17	-2	14.4	16.6	-2.17	14.5	13.3	1.27
Jarell Martin	55	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.34	-22	-14	-8	14.2	16.3	-2.10	14.5	13.6	0.89
Andrew Harrison	63	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	-17	-2	15.1	15.2	-0.12	14.4	13.4	0.95
Zach Randolph	22	21	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.24	-22	-14	-8	17.5	14.5	3.05	10.4	15.1	-4.68
JaMychal Green	56	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.47	-30	-6	-24	16.1	13.9	2.24	13.6	14.7	-1.13
Wade Baldwin	49	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.49	-31	-5	-26	16.2	14.2	2.04	13.1	14.9	-1.75

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	62	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.67	39	-3	42	13.0	15.9	-2.84	15.6	14.5	1.11
Andrew Wiggins	63	64	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.65	38	-2	40	12.4	17.0	-4.62	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Gorgui Dieng	70	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.56	35	1	34	13.0	16.8	-3.86	15.4	14.6	0.75
Zach LaVine	61	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.45	28	8	20	13.4	15.1	-1.68	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Kris Dunn	58	59	0.34	0.17	0.17	-0.43	26	10	16	14.7	13.2	1.46	15.4	14.8	0.62
Tyus Jones	40	40	0.17	0.34	-0.17	-0.13	10	26	-16	13.2	14.7	-1.46	14.8	15.4	-0.62
Brandon Rush	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	28	-20	15.1	13.4	1.68	15.2	15.1	0.07
Cole Aldrich	19	18	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	37	-38	15.2	13.8	1.36	16.3	14.9	1.35
Shabazz Muhammad	35	35	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	38	-40	17.0	12.4	4.62	15.5	15.0	0.53
Nemanja Bjelica	36	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	39	-42	15.9	13.0	2.84	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Jordan Hill	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	34	-32	20.3	13.4	6.91	10.9	15.5	-4.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
UTA 72, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
NJN 82, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%