NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	121		Excitement	11.0 [38]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (DAL): +43.0%
Indiana Pacers	130		Comeback	1.4 [800]		LVP	Jeff Teague (IND): -28.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.43	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.08	0.40	0.05	14	68%	0.48	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	4	87%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.04	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	19	55%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Justin Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	9	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.11,0.11,0,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	16	34%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jose Juan Barea	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17	0.02	-0.19	0.00	17	55%	0.00	3	-0.17	6	100%	0.04
Deron Williams	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.25,-0.26	0.05	-0.30	0.01	18	69%	0.02	6	-0.28	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.16	0.20	0.01	19	70%	0.50	2	-0.14	5	60%	-0.03
Paul George	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.12	0.00	14	69%	0.38	2	-0.14	8	87%	0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	6	54%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	73%	0.19	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.01	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29	-0.29	-0.04	-0.22	0.03	15	47%	-0.11	3	-0.18	13	77%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	29.4	15.5	38.3	2.5	34.5	1.8	15.2	165.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +45.4%

IND +9.8%

DAL -0.1%

DAL -13.9%

IND +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	IND	NBA	DAL	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	13.4	14.8	105.2	111.1	107.7
season	16.2	14.9		104.4	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.7		108.0	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	13.6	13.3	15.2	15.0	12.3	14.1
IND	13.1	14.4	12.5	13.2	13.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	32	34	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.02	7	-16	23	14.0	14.1	-0.13	14.0	13.1	0.90
Justin Anderson	42	42	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-11	13	13.6	14.3	-0.66	13.1	13.5	-0.45
Nicolas Brussino	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	10.0	14.1	-4.13	6.0	13.5	-7.49
Dorian Finney-Smith	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-7	5	10.0	14.1	-4.13	6.0	13.4	-7.42
Quincy Acy	3	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-5	1	10.7	14.2	-3.49	10.0	13.4	-3.42
Dirk Nowitzki	83	85	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-8	7	13.8	14.8	-1.00	13.6	12.7	0.92
Dwight Powell	34	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-10	11	14.5	13.9	0.67	14.3	13.0	1.36
Jose Juan Barea	83	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.40	2	-11	13	14.2	13.8	0.34	14.2	11.1	3.16
Deron Williams	86	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	0	-9	14.2	13.8	0.36	13.3	13.6	-0.28
Harrison Barnes	76	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	-4	-1	14.0	14.2	-0.14	13.3	13.6	-0.31
Andrew Bogut	44	45	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.05	-19	10	-29	14.7	13.6	1.12	12.0	14.2	-2.14
Wesley Matthews	88	89	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.30	-17	8	-25	14.2	13.6	0.56	12.9	14.7	-1.73

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	82	83	1.21	-0.71	1.93	0.48	25	-16	41	13.3	13.5	-0.26	14.1	13.9	0.17
Monta Ellis	97	95	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.26	24	-15	39	13.0	15.0	-1.98	14.4	12.5	1.89
Paul George	94	91	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.24	24	-15	39	13.1	14.5	-1.39	14.4	12.9	1.50
Thaddeus Young	73	74	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	1	7	13.2	13.6	-0.41	14.7	12.9	1.80
Jeff Teague	82	81	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	13	-17	13.3	13.4	-0.06	13.8	14.6	-0.83
CJ Miles	31	28	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	11	-13	12.5	13.7	-1.19	12.5	14.6	-2.06
Joe Young	7	7	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	8	-7	15.1	13.2	1.90	11.7	14.2	-2.50
Al Jefferson	23	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	12	-15	14.5	13.1	1.39	15.0	13.8	1.11
Lavoy Allen	24	23	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	14	-19	14.6	13.0	1.59	13.3	14.2	-0.89
Glenn Robinson	23	24	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.00	-15	24	-39	14.5	13.1	1.39	12.9	14.4	-1.50
Rodney Stuckey	49	47	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.22	-8	17	-25	13.6	13.2	0.37	13.9	14.1	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.72,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.68,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 104, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.76,0.72,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.67,0.91,1	91.1%
ATL 94, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.74,1	89.8%
HOU 88, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.45,0.83,1	89.8%