inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 101 Excitement8.3 [234] MVPMonta Ellis (IND): +14.7%
Indiana Pacers 104 Comeback2.9 [437] LVPJason Terry (HOU): -10.8%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.130.110.030.012262%0.415-0.281173%-0.03
Clint Capela0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.00575%0.0600.00250%-0.03
Dwight Howard0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.030.020.010.00673%0.093-0.07333%-0.05
KJ McDaniels0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.001100%0.051-0.0500%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.010,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,-0.010.01-0.010.011254%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Michael Beasley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.001137%-0.0300.00250%-0.02
Patrick Beverley-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.010.00837%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.01844%-0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Corey Brewer-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00935%-0.0500.00580%0.03
Jason Terry-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.0030%-0.081-0.0300%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.23,0.19,0.150.150.070.100.021859%0.212-0.06367%-0.01
Paul George0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.020.021764%0.141-0.025100%0.04
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.120.120.030.07-0.011259%0.202-0.08837%-0.09
Jordan Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.01450%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Solomon Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.030.00250%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02736%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lavoy Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.00287%0.072-0.07475%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.01-0.00475%0.092-0.0900%0.00
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.001145%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.04-0.00530%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Myles Turner0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.0150%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.328.015.829.81.835.3137.6
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +37.8%
HOU -17.9%
IND +14.7%
IND +11.2%
IND +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUINDNBAHOUINDNBA
this game14.115.514.9105.2105.1105.1
season14.014.6105.9103.2
opponent14.915.1101.6106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU13.016.813.013.614.1
IND15.214.515.816.315.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
KJ McDaniels28280.57-1.071.640.0418-213911.515.1-3.5716.215.11.11
Michael Beasley4849-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-3312.915.2-2.3315.015.9-0.86
Clint Capela3435-0.10-0.400.31-0.4512-152714.813.61.1815.115.6-0.53
Donatas Motiejunas2829-0.10-0.400.31-0.07-1-2115.613.42.2317.414.62.82
Jason Terry2423-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-30-313.214.3-1.1412.616.3-3.71
Dwight Howard6264-0.40-0.10-0.310.04-1512-2713.614.8-1.1815.615.10.53
James Harden8690-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.472-5713.717.0-3.2815.713.02.70
Trevor Ariza7478-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.37-2-1-114.213.60.6116.113.03.12
Corey Brewer4648-0.510.01-0.53-0.510-3314.114.10.0114.816.1-1.29
Patrick Beverley5051-0.920.42-1.34-0.16-2623-4916.511.45.0914.816.2-1.42

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ian Mahinmi70650.75-0.251.000.3115-122715.814.71.0814.912.32.67
Paul George78750.62-0.120.740.446-3915.415.5-0.0913.814.9-1.08
Monta Ellis67650.58-0.080.650.5221115.814.80.9914.413.31.14
George Hill57560.490.010.470.52-14-515.914.81.1214.114.00.06
Solomon Hill31300.440.060.370.4403-316.115.20.8914.114.00.10
Lavoy Allen4342-0.020.52-0.54-0.0512-113.716.8-3.0213.914.2-0.24
CJ Miles3130-0.030.53-0.56-0.0303-315.315.5-0.1915.413.51.95
Rodney Stuckey3231-0.080.58-0.65-0.1112-114.815.8-0.9913.314.4-1.14
Ty Lawson3231-0.080.58-0.65-0.1112-114.815.8-0.9913.314.4-1.14
Jordan Hill1719-0.080.58-0.660.07-58-1312.616.0-3.4611.714.6-2.97
Myles Turner3736-0.080.58-0.670.06-58-1317.614.13.5013.914.2-0.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.47,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 92, SAC 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.87,0.95,192.9%
CHH 82, TOR 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.55,0.92,192.0%
CLE 82, MIA 870.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.63,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.35,0.28,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.62,0.79,0.97,1,191.9%