NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	108		Excitement	2.6 [1253]		MVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): +11.2%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.0 [874]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (SAC): -9.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.00	0.03	16	67%	0.12	1	-0.00	10	80%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	-0.00	0.05	19	63%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	10	42%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	64%	0.04	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.16	0.00	0.10	12	83%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	56%	0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.09	0.00	0.10	23	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	11	73%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	9	64%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	9	39%	-0.04	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	27.4	15.5	23.4	2.4	45.2	139.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +40.8%

UTA +1.6%

UTA +9.1%

SAC -3.0%

UTA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	16.4	13.8	14.9	112.5	104.2	105.1
season	16.3	13.9		104.6	104.8
opponent	14.6	15.0		107.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.4	15.4	16.4	16.3	16.4
SAC	16.0	15.9	13.0	10.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	41	41	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.20	23	-14	37	16.3	16.4	-0.08	15.7	12.3	3.44
Gordon Hayward	80	79	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	7	-5	15.9	18.7	-2.79	13.5	15.2	-1.69
Rodney Hood	66	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.06	15	-6	21	16.9	15.2	1.65	14.2	12.7	1.52
Derrick Favors	73	75	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	2	5	16.9	14.5	2.42	13.7	14.0	-0.34
Shelvin Mack	60	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	-2	13	16.7	15.8	0.94	13.6	14.2	-0.62
Trevor Booker	55	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	13	-17	16.5	16.2	0.30	12.2	15.6	-3.46
Raul Neto	15	14	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	1	7	16.3	16.4	-0.04	14.6	13.6	0.93
Chris Johnson	25	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	7	-5	14.0	17.2	-3.14	13.8	13.8	0.03
Joe Ingles	21	20	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	8	-7	19.3	15.5	3.74	13.3	13.9	-0.54
Trey Burke	21	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.27	-10	19	-29	15.4	16.6	-1.26	13.9	13.7	0.14
Trey Lyles	23	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.27	-10	19	-29	14.3	17.0	-2.71	14.1	13.7	0.41

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	34	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-11	13	13.6	13.9	-0.30	14.9	17.2	-2.37
Kosta Koufos	25	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-10	11	13.5	13.9	-0.35	17.3	16.0	1.29
Marco Belinelli	21	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-2	-5	14.8	13.5	1.26	17.1	16.2	0.94
Omri Casspi	53	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-14	19	13.1	14.7	-1.59	15.5	17.7	-2.19
Willie Cauley-Stein	59	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-13	17	13.1	14.9	-1.74	16.3	16.5	-0.20
Quincy Acy	19	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.26	-17	8	-25	16.3	13.2	3.11	18.4	15.9	2.56
Rudy Gay	59	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	0	-9	14.5	12.6	1.84	16.4	16.2	0.21
Darren Collison	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-8	7	13.3	14.9	-1.66	16.4	16.4	-0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	69	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	0	-9	13.8	13.7	0.17	16.2	16.8	-0.66
Rajon Rondo	70	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	5	-19	13.9	13.4	0.57	16.9	14.9	1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, GSW 78	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
DEN 109, NOK 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	97.1%
DAL 93, OKC 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.01,0	97.1%