NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	6.6 [515]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): +25.2%
Charlotte Hornets	108		Comeback	3.7 [426]		LVP	George Hill (IND): -9.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.04	0.03	23	62%	0.24	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	15	43%	0.08	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	10	48%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Rodney Stuckey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	8	41%	-0.01	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
George Hill	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	16	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.13	-0.01	22	65%	0.33	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.21	0.03	0.02	17	73%	0.28	2	-0.06	11	100%	0.06
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	10	59%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	39%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	40%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	23.5	15.4	27.5	2.5	32.4	126.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +52.2%

IND -2.8%

IND -5.3%

CHA +3.4%

CHA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHA	NBA	IND	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	15.5	14.9	107.4	113.7	105.1
season	14.6	15.1		103.2	105.5
opponent	14.8	14.9		103.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	15.4	14.0	16.2	14.9
CHA	15.0	15.2	13.7	18.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	60	60	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-13	19	13.9	16.7	-2.77	16.1	14.5	1.62
Paul George	73	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-6	5	14.0	18.1	-4.13	15.6	15.2	0.38
Ian Mahinmi	65	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-8	9	14.0	17.0	-2.93	15.6	15.5	0.05
George Hill	77	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-7	7	15.1	14.4	0.71	15.7	14.7	1.01
Monta Ellis	74	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.19	-2	-5	3	14.1	17.9	-3.83	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Jordan Hill	28	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-1	-5	16.9	14.1	2.84	15.6	15.5	0.05
Chase Budinger	21	21	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-1	-5	18.1	14.0	4.13	15.2	15.6	-0.38
Myles Turner	35	37	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	8	-23	16.7	13.9	2.88	14.5	16.2	-1.68
Rodney Stuckey	37	37	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	5	-17	16.3	14.1	2.24	15.4	15.6	-0.22

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	44	44	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.21	15	-8	23	15.2	15.8	-0.66	15.8	14.1	1.70
Frank Kaminsky	40	39	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-8	23	15.4	15.6	-0.15	16.5	13.8	2.69
Al Jefferson	40	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	3	1	16.1	15.1	0.93	15.1	14.8	0.33
Jeremy Lamb	21	21	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	3	1	16.3	15.3	1.02	17.6	14.2	3.39
Cody Zeller	55	54	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	4	-1	15.1	16.1	-0.93	14.8	15.1	-0.33
Kemba Walker	76	75	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	4	-1	15.4	16.2	-0.84	13.9	18.9	-4.96
Courtney Lee	69	67	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	7	-7	15.0	16.9	-1.91	15.1	14.5	0.64
Nicolas Batum	75	75	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	8	-9	16.2	13.1	3.02	14.5	16.6	-2.12
Marvin Williams	55	55	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.14	-8	15	-23	15.6	15.4	0.15	13.8	16.5	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.44,0.29,0.29,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, PHX 113	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1	93.4%
MIL 104, NOP 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.78,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,1	93.4%
NYK 106, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	92.6%