NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	114		Excitement	7.7 [307]		MVP	Darren Collison (SAC): +36.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	110		Comeback	14.9 [140]		LVP	Ish Smith (PHI): -18.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.34,0.34,0.37	0.19	0.20	0.03	12	83%	0.40	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.00	3	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Rajon Rondo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.10	0.01	13	54%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	20	52%	0.09	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.04,-0.05,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	18	53%	0.11	4	-0.15	17	71%	-0.04
Marco Belinelli	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nik Stauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.03	0.01	10	80%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.02,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.03	-0.02	16	76%	0.32	7	-0.18	6	67%	-0.11
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	7	43%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	18	63%	0.11	6	-0.15	5	80%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	11	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	6	36%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	30.9	15.8	24.4	2.3	37.4	137.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +17.3%

SAC +29.3%

SAC +1.0%

SAC +3.6%

PHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	13.9	15.5	14.9	116.3	112.2	105.1
season	13.9	14.8		104.8	97.7
opponent	14.2	14.6		108.0	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.4	13.8	15.0	12.5	13.9
PHI	14.4	15.0	15.6	17.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	32	31	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.50	13	-9	22	13.4	14.2	-0.79	15.3	15.6	-0.32
Rudy Gay	85	85	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.36	15	-11	26	13.4	17.3	-3.92	15.5	15.4	0.11
Darren Collison	63	62	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-6	16	13.0	15.5	-2.50	16.9	13.0	3.88
DeMarcus Cousins	77	77	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-7	18	12.9	17.6	-4.66	15.0	17.3	-2.36
Rajon Rondo	75	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	4	-4	13.3	16.0	-2.73	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Kosta Koufos	28	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	4	-4	16.1	13.0	3.03	16.8	15.0	1.84
James Anderson	11	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	6	-8	14.6	13.8	0.82	12.6	15.8	-3.21
Marco Belinelli	48	49	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.14	-3	7	-10	15.6	12.2	3.41	14.3	16.6	-2.31
Omri Casspi	35	37	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.06	-10	14	-24	14.3	13.7	0.63	18.9	13.4	5.57
Willie Cauley-Stein	36	36	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.02	-14	18	-32	16.0	12.7	3.35	12.4	17.3	-4.84

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	13	13	0.34	-0.84	1.18	-0.07	14	-18	32	14.0	15.7	-1.71	13.1	14.0	-0.96
Jerami Grant	58	58	0.30	-0.80	1.11	-0.02	11	-15	26	14.6	16.7	-2.15	14.8	12.7	2.08
Isaiah Canaan	30	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	1	-6	18.3	14.2	4.02	14.2	13.8	0.42
Richaun Holmes	29	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.24	-10	6	-16	17.3	14.7	2.60	13.6	14.0	-0.42
TJ McConnell	31	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.14	-7	3	-10	16.8	14.9	1.94	15.3	13.2	2.15
Ish Smith	68	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-5	6	14.7	17.2	-2.43	13.1	15.6	-2.54
Nik Stauskas	68	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.56	1	-5	6	14.3	18.2	-3.97	13.5	14.8	-1.33
Robert Covington	68	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	1	-6	14.5	17.7	-3.20	13.6	14.6	-1.03
Jahlil Okafor	82	81	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.41	-10	6	-16	15.6	14.6	1.02	13.8	14.4	-0.54
Hollis Thompson	43	42	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.49	-10	6	-16	17.3	14.1	3.25	14.5	13.5	0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.75,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.75,0.84,0.45,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.71,0.32,0.09,0	92.3%
TOR 99, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.57,0.08,0	92.3%
IND 106, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.16,0	91.8%