NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	8.3 [233]		MVP	Hollis Thompson (PHI): +20.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	23.3 [86]		LVP	Jahlil Okafor (PHI): -33.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.03	0.18	0.02	18	53%	0.27	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	5	83%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.01	21	49%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	44%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	29%	-0.07
Pablo Prigioni	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	0.01	18	41%	-0.01	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.04
Lance Stephenson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	13	27%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.12	-0.01	9	80%	0.27	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.00	7	81%	0.22	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	4	67%	0.15	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	9	48%	-0.02	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	6	7%	-0.12	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.25,-0.29,-0.3	-0.30	-0.13	-0.17	-0.00	24	33%	-0.23	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.10	-0.24	-0.00	18	39%	-0.19	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	32.4	15.7	24.7	2.0	34.1	1.8	20.0	157.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +31.5%

PHI -3.6%

PHI -12.9%

LAC +30.3%

LAC +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	13.8	16.3	14.9	92.5	87.6	105.1
season	14.8	14.8		106.6	97.7
opponent	14.2	14.9		108.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	13.0	12.5	14.6	14.7	15.9	13.8
PHI	14.2	15.2	17.3	19.7	15.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	85	86	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-10	26	13.0	17.0	-3.92	16.3	16.5	-0.16
DeAndre Jordan	86	86	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.32	12	-6	18	13.3	16.1	-2.88	16.2	16.9	-0.74
Chris Paul	83	80	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.30	10	-4	14	13.3	15.8	-2.57	16.1	17.2	-1.18
JJ Redick	78	77	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.45	2	4	-2	14.1	13.1	0.91	16.0	17.3	-1.33
Jamal Crawford	77	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-5	16	13.9	13.6	0.26	16.7	15.5	1.14
Luc Mbah a Moute	47	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	13	-20	14.6	13.2	1.45	16.0	16.6	-0.52
Pablo Prigioni	23	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	10	-14	15.8	13.3	2.57	17.2	16.1	1.18
Lance Stephenson	31	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.05	-4	10	-14	13.9	13.8	0.18	17.0	16.1	0.89
Cole Aldrich	20	19	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	12	-18	16.1	13.3	2.88	16.9	16.2	0.74

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	40	41	0.37	-0.87	1.23	-0.02	13	-19	32	14.9	17.2	-2.25	15.2	12.9	2.30
Nerlens Noel	65	66	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.00	7	-13	20	16.3	16.4	-0.17	15.1	11.7	3.39
Robert Covington	68	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-7	8	16.1	16.9	-0.81	13.6	14.2	-0.66
Jerami Grant	63	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	1	-8	16.7	15.8	0.97	13.8	13.7	0.10
Ish Smith	64	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.55	9	-15	24	15.9	17.0	-1.16	14.8	12.2	2.55
TJ McConnell	42	40	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	12	-30	16.9	16.0	0.94	12.2	14.8	-2.55
Hollis Thompson	69	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	4	-14	17.3	14.4	2.93	13.3	14.8	-1.54
Jahlil Okafor	63	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.17	-14	8	-22	16.1	16.7	-0.58	12.5	15.9	-3.43
Isaiah Canaan	51	48	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.48	-11	5	-16	16.5	16.2	0.21	13.7	13.9	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.92,0.5,0.25,0.04,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 113, SAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.66,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.95,0.46,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	90.7%
GSW 110, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.94,0.91,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.16,0.15,0	90.5%
PHI 111, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.09,0.02,0	89.5%