NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	99		Excitement	7.8 [303]		MVP	Matt Barnes (MEM): +30.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	101		Comeback	2.9 [544]		LVP	Norris Cole (NOP): -18.0%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23	0.13	0.10	0.01	13	77%	0.35	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Omer Asik	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.03	-0.07	7	56%	0.18	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	12	60%	0.16	3	-0.10	11	82%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	14	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Norris Cole	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	12	42%	-0.08	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.10	0.21	0.00	9	73%	0.36	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.15	0.00	12	53%	0.24	1	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.01	11	64%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.00	-0.01	12	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.05	0.01	13	47%	0.12	4	-0.16	8	50%	-0.04
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	3.4	32.9	17.7	26.5	2.8	41.3	151.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +2.6%

MEM +14.9%

MEM +19.7%

MEM +11.2%

MEM +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MEM	NBA	NOP	MEM	NBA
this game	15.2	16.6	14.9	110.0	111.0	105.1
season	14.3	15.7		104.3	103.4
opponent	14.8	15.0		106.7	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.0	14.1	16.1	16.8	15.2
MEM	17.3	17.2	16.6	15.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	23	24	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.11	-3	1	-4	14.0	15.7	-1.66	15.7	16.9	-1.24
Omer Asik	37	37	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.03	-1	-1	0	16.0	14.7	1.26	17.7	15.8	1.89
Dante Cunningham	45	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-2	2	15.1	15.3	-0.20	17.6	15.7	1.89
Jrue Holiday	54	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.34	4	-6	10	14.1	17.0	-2.94	16.6	16.6	-0.06
Ryan Anderson	49	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.46	5	-7	12	15.0	15.5	-0.47	16.6	16.5	0.15
Norris Cole	58	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.29	-2	0	-2	16.0	13.9	2.11	16.2	17.4	-1.22
Eric Gordon	68	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-1	0	15.5	14.3	1.21	16.6	16.4	0.23
Alonzo Gee	46	45	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	6	-14	15.2	15.3	-0.12	16.1	17.0	-0.89
Anthony Davis	70	70	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.52	-4	2	-6	15.5	14.3	1.20	16.3	17.7	-1.41

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	60	58	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.51	7	-5	12	16.8	16.1	0.69	15.7	14.3	1.43
Mike Conley	52	51	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.02	19	-17	36	16.1	17.2	-1.04	16.0	14.2	1.86
Marc Gasol	75	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-2	6	16.4	17.4	-0.96	15.4	14.6	0.82
Matt Barnes	54	53	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.48	1	1	0	15.8	17.7	-1.89	14.7	16.0	-1.26
Jeff Green	52	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	0	2	16.2	17.1	-0.91	14.7	15.9	-1.19
JaMychal Green	7	9	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	-3	8	19.3	16.4	2.93	15.6	15.2	0.36
Vince Carter	25	26	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.11	4	-2	6	15.6	16.9	-1.30	14.9	15.4	-0.49
Tony Allen	46	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.24	-9	11	-20	17.4	15.8	1.59	15.4	15.1	0.25
Zach Randolph	46	44	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	8	-14	17.3	15.8	1.55	15.5	14.9	0.61
Mario Chalmers	38	39	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.24	-17	19	-36	17.0	16.3	0.76	14.2	16.0	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.94,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 106, NYK 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.88,0.94,1,1	92.9%
DAL 87, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1	92.7%
ORL 87, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.9,1	92.3%