NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	5.7 [686]		MVP	Justin Anderson (DAL): +9.9%
New Orleans Pelicans	91		Comeback	3.1 [168]		LVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): -16.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Anderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	4	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05	0.12	0.02	0.09	14	63%	0.05	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Chandler Parsons	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	16	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jeremy Evans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Dwight Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Jenkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	11	46%	0.04	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	10	10%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.01	9	78%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	42%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	12	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.04	0.08	12	57%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.09	0.05	25	47%	-0.07	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.3	28.5	15.4	23.2	2.5	32.6	129.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +44.3%

DAL +0.8%

NOP -3.6%

DAL +6.7%

DAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOP	NBA	DAL	NOP	NBA
this game	16.6	13.8	14.9	105.3	96.8	105.1
season	15.5	14.3		105.0	104.3
opponent	15.0	14.7		107.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.8	14.4	17.5	20.5	16.6
NOP	14.6	13.8	14.5	12.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	53	53	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.12	20	-11	31	15.2	18.5	-3.33	13.4	14.3	-0.93
Jeremy Evans	50	50	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-7	23	16.6	16.7	-0.05	13.2	14.5	-1.37
Dwight Powell	60	59	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.27	14	-5	19	16.2	17.4	-1.25	13.3	14.6	-1.29
Justin Anderson	32	33	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-6	21	17.3	16.3	0.96	15.3	13.0	2.29
Raymond Felton	73	72	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	10	-11	16.5	17.3	-0.82	13.4	15.3	-1.90
John Jenkins	8	8	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	6	-3	16.1	16.7	-0.56	13.7	13.8	-0.08
Jose Juan Barea	55	54	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	15	-21	18.3	14.4	3.92	14.7	12.6	2.04
Chandler Parsons	64	62	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	13	-17	16.4	17.1	-0.72	13.1	15.1	-1.98
JaVale McGee	39	38	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.03	-4	13	-17	16.6	16.7	-0.09	14.4	13.4	1.05
Charlie Villanueva	41	41	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.00	-8	17	-25	17.4	16.1	1.32	14.7	13.1	1.58

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	31	32	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.04	7	-16	23	15.7	12.9	2.82	19.2	15.3	3.89
Omer Asik	34	35	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-12	15	15.4	12.9	2.50	18.4	15.6	2.74
Eric Gordon	45	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-11	13	14.3	13.4	0.94	17.3	16.1	1.23
Alexis Ajinca	6	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-7	5	11.8	14.0	-2.12	16.1	16.7	-0.54
Tyreke Evans	67	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-12	15	14.0	13.4	0.63	17.5	14.6	2.94
Dante Cunningham	31	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-1	-7	14.1	13.7	0.46	15.3	17.3	-2.01
Anthony Davis	84	85	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-6	3	13.8	14.1	-0.31	16.2	20.8	-4.65
Ryan Anderson	58	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.21	-13	4	-17	12.8	15.4	-2.63	15.2	18.9	-3.64
Jrue Holiday	57	59	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.19	-16	7	-23	13.5	14.4	-0.88	16.5	16.9	-0.40
Norris Cole	57	56	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.18	-18	9	-27	12.7	15.5	-2.84	15.7	18.0	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 86, HOU 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%
MIN 77, UTA 66	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.3,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.8%
TOR 113, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.05,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.3%