NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	116		Excitement	6.5 [539]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (OKC): +14.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Comeback	3.6 [84]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -30.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.04	-0.01	13	62%	0.15	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
DeMarcus Cousins	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	27	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Darren Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.04	-0.04	14	48%	0.08	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	11	43%	-0.03	6	-0.14	8	37%	-0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	11	83%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	17	66%	0.15	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	12	46%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.23	-0.10	-0.02	23	35%	-0.10	7	-0.21	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.6	30.3	15.4	25.3	1.8	35.2	135.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +9.3%

SAC +14.1%

SAC +16.9%

SAC +4.8%

SAC +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	OKC	NBA	SAC	OKC	NBA
this game	14.0	14.3	14.9	113.7	102.0	105.1
season	13.9	14.4		104.8	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.6		104.4	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.9	13.9	16.6	13.9	14.0
OKC	14.2	14.4	14.7	13.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	60	60	0.76	-0.26	1.02	-0.03	27	-15	42	14.2	13.6	0.57	14.1	14.4	-0.30
Darren Collison	63	62	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.11	23	-11	34	14.3	13.5	0.76	14.1	14.5	-0.44
Marco Belinelli	71	72	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-6	24	14.3	13.4	0.90	14.3	14.1	0.27
Rajon Rondo	93	92	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	8	-4	13.7	16.4	-2.70	14.0	16.9	-2.93
Willie Cauley-Stein	31	32	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	3	6	15.5	13.3	2.25	14.7	14.1	0.63
DeMarcus Cousins	81	80	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	9	-6	13.6	15.4	-1.82	14.2	14.5	-0.31
James Anderson	12	11	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	8	-4	15.2	13.8	1.34	12.9	14.4	-1.51
Rudy Gay	71	72	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.19	-9	21	-30	14.0	14.0	0.02	14.7	13.2	1.49
Quincy Acy	12	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	18	-24	11.2	14.3	-3.09	15.2	14.1	1.03
Ben McLemore	16	17	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.16	-13	25	-38	12.1	14.3	-2.20	14.4	14.2	0.19

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	55	56	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.19	8	-20	28	14.5	13.9	0.59	14.4	13.4	0.99
Andre Roberson	49	50	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.20	8	-20	28	14.9	13.7	1.20	14.6	13.4	1.14
Nick Collison	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-10	8	13.6	14.3	-0.69	13.0	14.1	-1.10
Anthony Morrow	71	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-14	16	14.8	13.0	1.80	14.0	14.0	-0.03
Mitch McGary	6	5	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-6	0	12.3	14.4	-2.04	11.0	14.1	-3.13
Russell Westbrook	87	88	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.30	5	-17	22	14.1	15.1	-0.95	14.0	14.1	-0.19
Serge Ibaka	86	86	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-9	6	14.0	15.4	-1.40	13.7	15.4	-1.65
Kyle Singler	32	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.14	-16	4	-20	13.5	14.6	-1.05	12.9	14.5	-1.57
Cameron Payne	40	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	5	-22	13.7	14.6	-0.87	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Enes Kanter	35	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	7	-26	14.1	14.3	-0.17	14.1	13.9	0.16
Dion Waiters	38	39	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.09	-20	8	-28	14.6	14.0	0.56	14.8	13.5	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 109, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.3%
WAS 104, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0	93.3%
CLE 103, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%