inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 147 Excitement19.5 [1] MVPPau Gasol (CHI): +23.3%
Chicago Bulls 144 Comeback8.1 [116] LVPDerrick Rose (CHI): -36.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Drummond0.180,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.060.120.002555%0.242-0.061050%-0.11
Stanley Johnson0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.040.10-0.011162%0.232-0.08475%-0.00
Marcus Morris0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.130.000.12-0.011750%0.202-0.07650%-0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.100,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1-0.030.140.001842%0.141-0.03425%-0.03
Steve Blake0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.010.00567%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Joel Anthony0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Reggie Jackson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.25,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,00.03-0.020.012748%0.072-0.061070%-0.04
Anthony Tolliver-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.040.00425%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.06-0.08-0.001743%-0.032-0.11862%-0.07

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.5,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.070.170.002352%0.261-0.031283%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.070.01767%0.172-0.05786%0.03
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.07,0.10.100.11-0.020.002958%0.163-0.061687%0.10
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.000.00283%0.0500.002100%0.01
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00333%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.00560%0.033-0.0900%0.00
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.060.01636%-0.0800.002100%0.01
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35-0.35-0.10-0.260.00721%-0.192-0.1700%0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.22,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36-0.36-0.06-0.36-0.063447%-0.074-0.295100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2 OT3 OT4Total
this game24.32.331.515.529.21.634.91.716.02.410.62.311.31.518.0203.2
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.52.217.32.217.32.217.32.217.3136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +106.7%
CHI -51.6%
CHI -56.5%
DET +32.9%
DET +18.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHINBADETCHINBA
this game15.314.614.9107.3105.9105.1
season15.014.8104.9103.7
opponent14.915.1105.1105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DET16.315.514.415.914.715.3
CHI12.013.313.816.116.914.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Morris1141130.450.050.390.247-41115.215.6-0.3915.112.32.77
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope97960.410.090.310.58-69-1515.614.60.9314.814.10.64
Reggie Jackson100990.370.130.240.40-14-515.016.0-0.9814.814.10.64
Joel Anthony26230.340.160.190.147-41116.015.10.9316.414.22.15
Stanley Johnson61610.280.220.060.116-3915.315.3-0.0413.815.3-1.48
Anthony Tolliver26250.280.220.060.135-2716.215.11.1715.414.40.98
Steve Blake41400.160.34-0.180.0730315.215.3-0.0613.515.0-1.49
Andre Drummond1101110.150.35-0.200.24-36-915.315.4-0.1514.415.6-1.22
Ersan Ilyasova1101120.060.44-0.380.15-36-915.016.4-1.4014.316.0-1.65

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Snell67670.63-1.131.770.2812-152715.413.81.6714.615.9-1.26
E'Twaun Moore770.02-0.520.540.020-3311.414.8-3.3515.315.30.00
Kirk Hinrich2626-0.08-0.420.33-0.142-5714.314.7-0.3716.515.01.50
Pau Gasol9598-0.13-0.370.23-0.409-122114.714.30.4814.816.4-1.57
Taj Gibson9089-0.14-0.360.23-0.11-1-2114.914.00.9815.315.30.02
Derrick Rose109109-0.22-0.280.05-0.375-81314.614.60.0115.215.6-0.45
Aaron Brooks2323-0.25-0.250.00-0.07-63-914.414.6-0.2514.715.4-0.71
Joakim Noah5250-0.26-0.24-0.030.03-107-1713.915.0-1.0716.714.52.17
Doug McDermott4343-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.15-107-1714.114.8-0.7816.814.62.23
Jimmy Butler109111-0.550.05-0.60-0.40-52-715.212.03.2015.215.7-0.46
Nikola Mirotic4749-0.570.07-0.65-0.34-85-1314.114.9-0.8214.815.6-0.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.21,0.33,0.23,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.41,0.46,0.25,0.07,0.1,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 92, CHH 850.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.22,0.09,0.08,086.4%
CHI 83, CLE 740.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.09,086.1%
DEN 123, GSW 1180.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.39,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.39,0.15,0.22,0.08,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.42,086.0%