NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	5.1 [818]		MVP	Brandon Knight (PHX): +11.0%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	1.5 [926]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -17.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	12	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	92%	0.09	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.16	0.01	0.11	19	65%	0.07	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	2	90%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	57%	0.05	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	59%	0.03	5	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.01	-0.04	19	66%	0.18	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	10	64%	0.11	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	5	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	13	64%	0.11	6	-0.13	10	80%	0.02
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	7	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	10	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	34.2	16.3	24.5	2.4	33.3	140.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +31.0%

MIN -5.2%

MIN -6.7%

PHX +31.7%

MIN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	13.8	14.7	14.9	100.0	106.9	105.1
season	14.8	14.4		104.8	100.9
opponent	14.4	15.0		107.4	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.6	13.5	16.9	12.2	13.8
PHX	13.5	16.1	12.6	17.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	24	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	14.5	13.6	0.90	14.3	14.9	-0.56
Adreian Payne	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-7	7	22.0	13.7	8.31	21.0	14.7	6.32
Andre Miller	26	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.37	12	-19	31	12.5	14.2	-1.77	16.5	14.1	2.38
Tayshaun Prince	19	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-1	-5	12.3	14.1	-1.86	15.9	14.5	1.42
Shabazz Muhammad	46	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-9	11	12.6	14.7	-2.10	15.6	14.0	1.59
Damjan Rudez	44	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-10	13	13.0	14.4	-1.37	15.6	14.1	1.51
Karl-Anthony Towns	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	14.9	13.1	1.88	14.1	15.1	-1.06
Ricky Rubio	49	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	14.5	13.1	1.43	13.7	15.7	-1.96
Kevin Martin	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-2	-3	14.8	12.6	2.23	14.0	15.6	-1.64
Zach LaVine	53	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-5	3	12.8	14.8	-1.98	15.4	14.0	1.45
Gorgui Dieng	61	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-6	5	13.1	14.7	-1.62	15.3	13.9	1.31
Nemanja Bjelica	33	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	5	-17	14.3	13.5	0.79	13.9	15.1	-1.26
Andrew Wiggins	58	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	10	-27	14.8	12.4	2.40	13.6	16.3	-2.68

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	72	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-7	21	14.2	16.0	-1.76	14.6	12.0	2.59
Jon Leuer	58	57	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	2	3	14.8	14.7	0.16	14.7	12.6	2.13
Eric Bledsoe	76	77	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	3	1	14.5	15.5	-1.03	14.0	13.1	0.85
Tyson Chandler	49	49	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-3	13	14.7	14.8	-0.09	13.0	14.5	-1.58
Brandon Knight	75	73	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	5	-3	14.5	15.5	-1.07	14.0	13.2	0.77
Alex Len	51	51	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	10	-13	15.0	14.4	0.60	14.8	12.7	2.12
Ronnie Price	23	21	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	2	3	14.9	14.7	0.22	14.1	13.7	0.41
TJ Warren	29	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	12	-17	16.3	14.1	2.15	11.9	14.7	-2.72
Mirza Teletovic	43	44	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	5	-3	14.7	14.8	-0.16	12.6	14.7	-2.13
Devin Booker	29	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	6	-5	15.3	14.5	0.75	12.2	14.5	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 79, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
WAS 79, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
UTA 82, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%