NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	112		Excitement	7.5 [359]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +24.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	110		Comeback	7.5 [111]		LVP	Kristaps Porzingis (NYK): -15.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.25	0.19	0.09	0.03	21	73%	0.42	4	-0.17	9	100%	0.09
Kyle O'Quinn	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.11	0.01	8	82%	0.23	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04
Lance Thomas	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	3	108%	0.24	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Robin Lopez	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	7	78%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	6	71%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	11	58%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	39%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	6	0%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.07	-0.03	10	58%	0.18	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.07	-0.02	6	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	2	117%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	17	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.06	-0.04	13	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.02	28	47%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.10	-0.01	6	56%	-0.08	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	32.6	15.7	26.0	2.6	41.4	143.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +55.6%

NYK +20.1%

POR -8.1%

POR -18.8%

NYK +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	POR	NBA	NYK	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	15.3	14.9	121.7	118.3	105.1
season	15.6	15.0		103.5	107.1
opponent	14.6	14.8		106.7	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	17.0	18.2	13.0	15.8
POR	15.9	14.4	15.2	15.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Thomas	49	50	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.49	9	-7	16	14.6	17.2	-2.57	15.0	15.7	-0.70
Arron Afflalo	78	78	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.49	9	-7	16	15.4	18.1	-2.75	15.9	12.2	3.72
Langston Galloway	58	58	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.37	9	-7	16	15.5	16.4	-0.85	15.8	14.5	1.25
Derrick Williams	26	26	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-17	36	15.2	16.1	-0.87	16.0	15.1	0.89
Kyle O'Quinn	35	36	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-8	18	15.3	16.1	-0.81	15.9	14.9	0.97
Carmelo Anthony	73	74	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.38	-8	10	-18	16.2	14.4	1.82	15.2	15.8	-0.65
Sasha Vujacic	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	4	-6	12.8	16.3	-3.55	12.5	15.8	-3.32
Robin Lopez	54	54	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.26	-14	16	-30	17.4	13.5	3.90	14.8	16.0	-1.17
Kristaps Porzingis	37	37	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	10	-18	16.1	15.6	0.44	16.1	14.8	1.30
Jose Calderon	37	38	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	0.03	-14	16	-30	17.4	14.7	2.66	14.0	16.2	-2.19

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	34	34	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.05	11	-13	24	16.0	14.9	1.02	16.3	15.5	0.81
Mason Plumlee	52	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.31	8	-10	18	15.3	15.4	-0.12	16.6	14.7	1.90
Damian Lillard	74	74	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.45	12	-14	26	14.8	17.2	-2.37	16.1	14.7	1.36
Maurice Harkless	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	7	-16	15.6	15.2	0.38	16.7	15.4	1.34
Al-Farouq Aminu	63	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.33	5	-7	12	15.1	15.9	-0.80	16.1	15.2	0.99
Gerald Henderson	14	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	6	-14	14.8	15.4	-0.63	17.9	15.5	2.45
Meyers Leonard	38	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	6	-14	15.2	15.4	-0.23	14.3	16.9	-2.55
Ed Davis	38	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	10	-22	16.1	14.8	1.32	15.5	16.0	-0.50
Allen Crabbe	52	52	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	5	-12	15.8	14.7	1.06	15.2	16.6	-1.39
CJ McCollum	73	70	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.62	-2	0	-2	15.1	16.1	-0.99	15.0	18.3	-3.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	92.3%
DAL 105, VAN 98	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.63,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.04,0	91.5%
NJN 94, TOR 87	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.67,0.58,0.41,0.34,0.17,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0	91.5%