NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	104		Excitement	8.1 [260]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): +36.4%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	2.3 [688]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (ORL): -22.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	16	57%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.08
Shabazz Napier	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.07	0.01	13	55%	0.13	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.05
Andrew Nicholson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mario Hezonja	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	14	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	14	47%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Elfrid Payton	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	15	37%	-0.04	3	-0.18	2	0%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,0.35,0.36	0.36	0.01	0.35	-0.00	16	57%	0.47	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.05
PJ Tucker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.07	-0.05	9	61%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	65%	0.17	3	-0.08	11	55%	-0.07
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.07	0.01	11	58%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	68%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	16	57%	0.16	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.04
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	27.3	14.8	27.2	1.7	40.0	137.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +42.7%

PHX +17.6%

ORL -0.9%

PHX +4.7%

ORL -14.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	14.2	14.9	105.1	108.1	105.1
season	14.6	14.4		103.6	100.9
opponent	14.4	14.9		107.4	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.1	13.6	14.4	16.4	14.8
PHX	13.7	14.6	13.3	15.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nicholson	26	30	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-9	15	14.6	14.9	-0.37	14.8	14.0	0.85
Mario Hezonja	17	16	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.18	8	-11	19	15.9	14.6	1.25	16.6	13.8	2.84
Jason Smith	14	15	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-4	5	14.4	14.9	-0.49	13.6	14.4	-0.76
Aaron Gordon	25	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-5	7	15.0	14.8	0.20	14.5	14.2	0.34
Shabazz Napier	31	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-1	-1	13.8	15.3	-1.52	13.3	14.7	-1.33
Channing Frye	37	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	4	-11	14.2	15.2	-0.97	13.2	14.8	-1.60
Victor Oladipo	58	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-4	5	15.1	14.5	0.57	14.5	13.9	0.59
Elfrid Payton	68	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-2	1	15.3	13.8	1.52	14.7	13.3	1.33
Tobias Harris	70	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	1	-5	14.4	15.9	-1.48	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Nikola Vucevic	78	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.39	-6	3	-9	15.1	14.0	1.02	14.4	13.8	0.60
Evan Fournier	71	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.22	-13	10	-23	15.0	14.4	0.69	13.9	15.0	-1.11

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	67	67	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.30	17	-14	31	13.5	15.7	-2.23	14.9	14.7	0.28
Eric Bledsoe	72	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-9	21	13.6	16.0	-2.47	15.1	14.3	0.76
Alex Len	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.49	-1	4	-5	14.9	12.2	2.69	14.7	15.4	-0.68
Brandon Knight	80	81	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.38	1	2	-1	14.2	14.4	-0.22	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Devin Booker	39	40	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.52	-10	13	-23	15.2	13.6	1.55	13.6	15.7	-2.01
Ronnie Price	22	20	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	-3	9	15.1	14.0	1.09	16.5	14.4	2.13
Jon Leuer	60	60	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	0	3	12.7	16.6	-3.83	14.6	15.2	-0.50
Mirza Teletovic	55	56	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	-0.09	0	3	-3	15.2	13.1	2.07	15.4	14.1	1.29
TJ Warren	25	25	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.05	-13	16	-29	15.7	13.8	1.92	14.8	14.9	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.9,0.89,0.71,0.57,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.9,0.97,0.85,0.57,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 86, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.95,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.89,0.85,0.73,1	91.9%
MIN 82, POR 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.91,1	91.4%
DAL 120, SAC 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.97,0.93,0.67,0.58,1	91.1%