inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 84 Excitement4.0 [1043] MVPMarvin Williams (CHA): +10.7%
Charlotte Hornets 104 Comeback1.3 [818] LVPNicolas Batum (CHA): -11.2%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Blake0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01675%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Aron Baynes0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.02847%0.0400.0010%-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.010,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.021550%0.031-0.02250%-0.00
Reggie Bullock0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darrun Hilliard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05320%0.0000.00450%0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stanley Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00837%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Marcus Morris-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.001144%0.012-0.05367%-0.01
Andre Drummond-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.010.05750%-0.031-0.02425%-0.03
Reggie Jackson-0.080,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.13-0.01-0.06922%-0.053-0.0300%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.010.001442%-0.033-0.06850%-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.13-0.000.02887%0.1100.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.01965%0.103-0.011377%-0.01
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.001054%0.041-0.01450%-0.01
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01570%0.042-0.0200%0.00
PJ Hairston0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.00646%0.0100.001100%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.010.02954%0.052-0.04887%0.02
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02850%0.0000.0000%0.00
Troy Daniels00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.00425%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.110.01-0.091125%-0.0010.0020%-0.03
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.010.011539%-0.044-0.083100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.01.429.214.826.22.426.2128.2
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +15.4%
CHA +16.0%
CHA +10.5%
CHA +8.0%
CHA +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHANBADETCHANBA
this game15.014.314.984.8106.1105.1
season15.015.1104.9105.5
opponent14.815.1103.6105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.115.615.215.015.0
CHA14.215.712.015.614.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Bullock770.00-0.500.50-0.062-222414.915.0-0.1116.914.12.78
Darrun Hilliard770.00-0.500.50-0.062-222414.915.0-0.1116.914.12.78
Spencer Dinwiddie770.00-0.500.50-0.062-222414.915.0-0.1116.914.12.78
Joel Anthony770.00-0.500.50-0.062-222414.915.0-0.1116.914.12.78
Steve Blake3836-0.09-0.410.32-0.121-212216.414.12.3316.113.22.90
Anthony Tolliver4039-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-191816.114.22.0014.714.00.69
Andre Drummond5051-0.23-0.270.050.10-11-9-214.015.9-1.9413.714.9-1.19
Stanley Johnson4039-0.23-0.270.030.00-8-12415.914.31.6615.313.61.63
Aron Baynes4240-0.27-0.23-0.050.05-11-9-216.114.12.0114.514.10.46
Marcus Morris6665-0.33-0.17-0.160.14-16-4-1214.316.3-2.0613.515.8-2.37
Ersan Ilyasova5959-0.38-0.12-0.260.18-19-1-1814.216.1-2.0014.014.7-0.69
Reggie Jackson5455-0.41-0.09-0.320.26-233-2614.016.2-2.1912.716.2-3.49
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope7878-0.44-0.06-0.370.15-200-2015.114.60.4314.015.4-1.41

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cody Zeller62620.400.100.29-0.192002013.216.1-2.9514.316.1-1.88
Nicolas Batum71710.390.110.27-0.081641213.416.6-3.2514.715.5-0.80
Frank Kaminsky60620.320.180.15-0.03128414.314.3-0.0215.813.62.22
Jeremy Lamb41430.310.190.12-0.07137614.714.00.6615.914.31.59
Marvin Williams58580.290.210.08-0.12146815.113.11.9414.415.8-1.44
Jeremy Lin53510.260.240.020.08614-814.813.61.1715.414.50.93
PJ Hairston36370.220.28-0.07-0.16137613.214.9-1.6613.615.8-2.22
Kemba Walker52530.210.29-0.07-0.14128413.515.2-1.7314.815.2-0.36
Spencer Hawes29300.100.40-0.290.05218-1616.013.62.4016.414.32.11
Troy Daniels770.000.50-0.500.06-222-2416.914.12.7814.915.0-0.11
Aaron Harrison770.000.50-0.500.06-222-2416.914.12.7814.915.0-0.11
Brian Roberts770.000.50-0.500.06-222-2416.914.12.7814.915.0-0.11
Tyler Hansbrough770.000.50-0.500.06-222-2416.914.12.7814.915.0-0.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 99, MIN 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
LAC 89, NOK 1020.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,196.5%
WAS 78, SAS 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%