NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	107		Excitement	5.3 [777]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +21.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	1.1 [1254]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -11.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.22	0.15	0.13	0.06	21	66%	0.30	4	-0.08	17	82%	0.11
Monta Ellis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	83%	0.16	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	3	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	11	41%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
George Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	11	44%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	13	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	15	65%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.12	-0.02	0.10	17	61%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.00	10	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	11	42%	-0.01	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	0.03	0.02	20	30%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	28.5	16.5	26.7	2.0	48.7	148.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.6%

IND +31.9%

LAL -2.9%

LAL -5.0%

IND +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAL	NBA	IND	LAL	NBA
this game	12.5	14.5	14.9	101.9	95.4	105.1
season	14.6	15.2		103.2	100.1
opponent	14.5	14.9		109.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	12.4	11.8	12.0	12.5
LAL	16.6	14.3	14.9	12.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	68	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-8	20	12.4	12.7	-0.31	14.0	15.5	-1.53
Monta Ellis	81	84	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-7	18	11.9	14.5	-2.57	14.5	14.6	-0.06
Paul George	81	84	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	-6	16	12.0	14.0	-1.92	14.6	14.5	0.10
Jordan Hill	40	40	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-5	14	13.0	12.1	0.93	16.5	13.4	3.08
George Hill	74	76	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	4	-4	12.9	11.4	1.50	13.7	16.5	-2.83
Rodney Stuckey	57	58	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.38	-9	13	-22	12.5	12.5	0.03	15.7	13.1	2.60
Ian Mahinmi	65	68	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.29	-7	11	-18	12.1	13.0	-0.93	13.4	16.5	-3.08
Lavoy Allen	35	35	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.13	-2	6	-8	13.1	12.2	0.91	15.5	14.1	1.36
Chase Budinger	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	8	-12	14.0	12.0	1.92	14.5	14.6	-0.10

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	42	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-8	12	14.4	14.7	-0.29	11.6	13.0	-1.38
Julius Randle	65	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.27	5	-9	14	13.3	16.3	-3.01	12.4	12.6	-0.22
Larry Nance Jr.	30	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-3	2	16.4	13.8	2.63	12.4	12.5	-0.08
Nick Young	64	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.40	6	-10	16	14.6	14.5	0.06	12.2	12.8	-0.57
D'Angelo Russell	57	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	4	-12	14.7	14.4	0.35	13.2	11.6	1.56
Roy Hibbert	59	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	6	-16	14.6	14.4	0.24	13.0	11.8	1.21
Metta World Peace	60	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	0	-4	15.5	13.3	2.28	11.8	13.3	-1.56
Kobe Bryant	74	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	2	-8	14.1	15.4	-1.32	13.2	11.0	2.20
Jordan Clarkson	89	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	2	-8	14.3	15.5	-1.20	12.2	13.8	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 110, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.3%
MIA 120, BKN 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0	94.9%
ATL 107, MEM 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%