NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	8.3 [224]		MVP	Mirza Teletovic (PHX): +30.5%
Toronto Raptors	102		Comeback	1.9 [459]		LVP	Bismack Biyombo (TOR): -20.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.23	0.08	0.00	9	111%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	10	73%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
TJ Warren	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	13	54%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Markieff Morris	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.06,0.04,0.04	-0.10	0.14	-0.01	12	28%	0.10	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.02
Brandon Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	17	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	8	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	0.02	17	44%	0.06	3	-0.11	11	82%	0.02
PJ Tucker	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.05
Ronnie Price	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.06	0.00	20	62%	0.22	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	13	69%	0.16	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	64%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	-0.02	14	55%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.02,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	11	41%	0.02	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.0	29.0	15.8	23.4	2.4	33.5	127.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +3.4%

PHX +13.1%

PHX +12.3%

PHX +18.1%

PHX +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	14.9	112.6	104.1	105.1
season	14.4	16.1		100.9	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.4		104.6	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.3	15.3	15.0	15.1	14.9
TOR	13.9	14.7	16.9	14.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Knight	73	77	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	-2	9	14.4	16.8	-2.39	14.5	16.3	-1.75
PJ Tucker	45	47	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	-1	7	14.3	15.5	-1.27	14.3	15.5	-1.25
Markieff Morris	48	50	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	0	5	14.2	15.7	-1.43	13.3	16.6	-3.32
TJ Warren	60	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	3	-1	14.7	15.3	-0.60	14.8	15.1	-0.23
Ronnie Price	44	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-4	13	14.2	15.6	-1.41	15.6	14.3	1.24
Jon Leuer	44	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	1	3	14.7	15.2	-0.48	16.1	13.9	2.27
Eric Bledsoe	74	76	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	9	-13	15.8	11.9	3.95	14.8	15.2	-0.35
Alex Len	52	53	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	16.0	13.7	2.35	15.7	14.0	1.68
Mirza Teletovic	35	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	9	-13	16.1	14.2	1.91	15.6	14.5	1.16

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	23	22	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.13	7	-12	19	14.7	15.0	-0.28	17.3	14.2	3.10
Terrence Ross	29	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-7	9	15.3	14.7	0.62	16.3	14.4	1.96
Luis Scola	36	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-7	9	15.0	14.8	0.19	15.3	14.7	0.59
Lucas Nogueira	14	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	4	-13	15.5	14.8	0.69	10.3	15.7	-5.36
DeMarre Carroll	76	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-7	9	14.8	15.1	-0.29	15.1	14.5	0.57
Patrick Patterson	35	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	5	-15	16.1	14.2	1.88	13.0	15.9	-2.92
Bismack Biyombo	64	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-4	3	14.9	14.9	0.08	16.4	11.9	4.46
Cory Joseph	69	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	0	-5	14.4	16.0	-1.60	14.0	17.1	-3.08
Kyle Lowry	69	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	2	-9	14.7	15.3	-0.62	14.4	16.3	-1.96
DeMar DeRozan	75	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	1	-7	14.7	15.5	-0.80	15.1	14.3	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.32,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.41,0.54,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.45,0.46,0.14,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 94, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.19,0.27,0.45,0.37,0.25,0.09,0	94.0%
DET 78, HOU 70	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.26,0.22,0.39,0.31,0.15,0.02,0,0	91.8%
ORL 105, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.39,0.29,0.04,0.01,0	91.8%