NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	116		Excitement	9.4 [106]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +46.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	122		Comeback	1.4 [687]		LVP	Brandon Knight (PHX): -14.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.24,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	15	69%	0.33	5	-0.19	12	92%	0.06
Devin Booker	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	8	75%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
PJ Tucker	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	11	50%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Markieff Morris	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	15	49%	0.12	1	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Jon Leuer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0	0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	18	43%	-0.03	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.18,0.28,0.19,0.47	0.47	0.08	0.38	-0.00	22	58%	0.61	3	-0.14	11	82%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.21	0.02	0.03	14	78%	0.26	1	-0.06	9	100%	0.06
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	15	47%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.08	-0.00	16	56%	0.08	3	-0.14	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	31.3	15.4	27.5	2.4	46.5	147.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +66.0%

PHX -25.0%

NOP +5.8%

NOP +1.6%

NOP +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOP	NBA	PHX	NOP	NBA
this game	14.0	12.8	14.9	107.4	114.0	105.1
season	14.4	14.3		100.9	104.3
opponent	15.0	14.4		107.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.6	14.3	13.9	12.4	14.0
NOP	12.7	13.4	13.3	12.0	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	14	13	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.12	1	-7	8	13.9	14.0	-0.11	13.0	12.8	0.19
Tyson Chandler	34	34	0.01	-0.52	0.53	0.10	-3	-3	0	15.5	13.2	2.30	14.0	12.3	1.71
Jon Leuer	18	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-5	4	12.1	14.3	-2.21	12.4	12.9	-0.50
TJ Warren	46	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-8	10	14.6	13.5	1.18	13.4	12.5	0.90
Devin Booker	35	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-3	0	15.0	13.5	1.51	12.1	13.2	-1.02
Mirza Teletovic	57	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-5	4	12.5	15.6	-3.06	12.4	13.3	-0.88
PJ Tucker	91	90	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-10	14	13.8	14.9	-1.17	12.9	12.2	0.71
Alex Len	4	4	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	2	-10	13.7	14.0	-0.21	12.0	12.9	-0.86
Eric Bledsoe	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-4	2	13.3	15.7	-2.42	12.8	12.8	0.06
Markieff Morris	79	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.32	-8	2	-10	14.6	12.1	2.48	12.6	13.6	-1.05
Brandon Knight	84	83	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.33	-11	5	-16	14.1	13.4	0.74	12.9	12.7	0.16

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	88	87	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.32	16	-10	26	13.0	12.1	0.95	13.9	14.0	-0.06
Alonzo Gee	87	84	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.38	13	-7	20	12.8	13.0	-0.27	14.1	13.6	0.48
Ish Smith	71	74	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.43	9	-3	12	11.7	15.0	-3.27	13.3	15.4	-2.04
Eric Gordon	89	88	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-5	16	12.7	13.4	-0.67	14.0	13.8	0.19
Ryan Anderson	75	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	3	0	12.2	14.4	-2.20	13.6	14.8	-1.22
Omer Asik	32	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	3	0	14.4	12.2	2.20	14.8	13.6	1.22
Toney Douglas	11	12	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	10	-14	12.0	12.9	-0.93	15.3	13.8	1.55
Luke Babbitt	16	19	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.09	-4	10	-14	13.2	12.8	0.49	13.2	14.1	-0.97
Jrue Holiday	47	47	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.07	-7	13	-20	14.9	11.2	3.60	14.7	13.4	1.29
Dante Cunningham	19	21	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	16	-26	12.1	13.0	-0.95	14.0	13.9	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 109, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.44,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.84,0.85,0.58,1	92.0%
PHX 90, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.57,0.85,1	91.7%
BKN 86, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.73,1	91.6%