NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	98		Excitement	9.6 [88]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +20.4%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	2.2 [418]		LVP	George Hill (IND): -10.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	19	63%	0.28	5	-0.17	5	100%	0.03
Evan Turner	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	10	55%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Avery Bradley	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.21,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	16	62%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.05
Jonas Jerebko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	10	41%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
RJ Hunter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.33,0.33,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.09	-0.01	18	62%	0.28	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	4	77%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.11	0.11	-0.08	0.18	-0.01	15	41%	0.21	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.09
Jordan Hill	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.09	-0.01	14	53%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	44%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	35%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	8	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	-0.00	10	36%	0.00	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	35.5	15.6	24.2	2.4	38.6	141.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +0.3%

IND +27.2%

IND +14.3%

IND +9.8%

BOS -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	12.9	16.8	14.9	103.2	102.0	105.1
season	13.9	14.6		104.5	103.2
opponent	14.9	15.0		101.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.6	10.0	13.9	16.0	12.9
IND	18.0	16.6	16.1	16.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
RJ Hunter	25	27	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.10	8	-10	18	12.8	13.0	-0.20	16.6	16.9	-0.39
David Lee	37	41	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-7	12	12.8	13.0	-0.22	15.7	17.7	-1.98
Terry Rozier	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-2	2	14.1	12.8	1.31	14.3	17.2	-2.92
Tyler Zeller	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-1	0	16.6	12.7	3.91	13.3	17.1	-3.82
Amir Johnson	40	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	2	-6	11.3	14.1	-2.76	18.5	15.7	2.85
Kelly Olynyk	22	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	1	-4	12.9	13.0	-0.05	16.0	17.1	-1.15
Jonas Jerebko	31	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.20	-1	-1	0	12.8	13.0	-0.21	15.6	17.4	-1.81
Jae Crowder	66	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	5	-12	12.8	13.3	-0.57	17.8	15.0	2.81
Jared Sullinger	55	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-4	6	12.5	13.6	-1.17	17.6	15.9	1.64
Isaiah Thomas	71	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-3	4	12.6	14.0	-1.41	17.7	14.3	3.43
Evan Turner	40	45	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.50	-2	0	-2	14.8	11.6	3.20	15.2	18.2	-2.94
Avery Bradley	68	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	6	-14	13.4	11.9	1.43	17.0	16.5	0.49

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	62	60	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.42	13	-11	24	17.5	15.8	1.67	13.1	12.7	0.37
Monta Ellis	64	66	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-13	28	17.1	16.4	0.74	13.3	12.1	1.21
George Hill	73	67	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.52	-4	6	-10	17.5	14.8	2.79	11.9	15.4	-3.52
Glenn Robinson	40	38	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	6	-10	16.1	17.4	-1.29	13.1	12.8	0.26
Jordan Hill	58	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	2	-2	17.9	15.2	2.72	12.4	13.9	-1.50
Rodney Stuckey	56	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.34	-5	7	-12	15.4	18.8	-3.37	14.2	11.3	2.89
Lavoy Allen	58	58	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	3	-4	17.6	15.7	1.92	12.1	14.2	-2.12
Myles Turner	40	37	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	2	-2	15.2	17.9	-2.72	13.9	12.4	1.50
Chase Budinger	40	37	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	6	-10	15.4	17.8	-2.39	13.2	12.8	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.74,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.86,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 106, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.91,1	92.5%
PHI 86, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.73,1	91.6%
GSW 88, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.48,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.53,1	91.5%