NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	114		Excitement	6.4 [528]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +26.6%
Houston Rockets	121		Comeback	3.6 [484]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -19.0%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.17	0.10	0.00	9	94%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.06	0.06	16	64%	0.16	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.03
Ryan Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	13	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	14	46%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	68%	0.13	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	11	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.06	0.02	13	40%	-0.11	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.05	-0.10	18	67%	0.32	4	-0.06	9	100%	0.05
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.11	-0.01	11	61%	0.22	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	10	61%	0.17	2	-0.04	11	45%	-0.05
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.01	7	86%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	5	75%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	6	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	11	48%	-0.01	2	-0.05	9	44%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.4	27.6	15.6	24.7	2.0	38.2	133.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +31.0%

HOU +11.6%

HOU +2.5%

HOU +4.2%

HOU +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	HOU	NBA	NOP	HOU	NBA
this game	16.7	13.2	15.1	118.8	124.7	104.2
season	15.8	14.3		106.3	105.6
opponent	14.9	15.2		103.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	17.2	18.3	17.7	14.2	16.7
HOU	13.5	14.5	13.6	11.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	3	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-5	3	20.7	16.6	4.10	14.0	13.1	0.87
Dante Cunningham	22	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-4	1	17.6	16.4	1.22	13.4	13.1	0.28
Eric Gordon	66	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-7	7	16.0	18.2	-2.14	13.7	12.2	1.49
Norris Cole	23	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-5	3	18.0	16.3	1.66	13.2	13.2	-0.01
Omer Asik	51	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-6	5	17.7	15.5	2.23	14.2	12.0	2.17
Tyreke Evans	79	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-3	-1	16.5	17.5	-0.94	13.2	12.9	0.34
Anthony Davis	81	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-3	-1	16.3	19.0	-2.73	13.0	13.9	-0.83
Ryan Anderson	55	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-1	-5	16.4	17.0	-0.61	12.3	14.2	-1.89
Jrue Holiday	30	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	18.0	16.1	1.89	12.7	13.4	-0.71
Quincy Pondexter	70	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	1	-9	16.0	18.5	-2.52	12.8	14.1	-1.36

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	63	63	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-6	19	11.6	16.1	-4.46	16.2	17.7	-1.52
Josh Smith	54	54	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.21	16	-9	25	12.3	14.2	-1.88	17.2	16.0	1.24
Pablo Prigioni	52	51	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.28	11	-4	15	11.8	14.7	-2.88	15.9	17.6	-1.66
Trevor Ariza	77	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	3	1	13.6	11.5	2.10	16.4	17.8	-1.36
Dwight Howard	56	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	3	1	13.6	12.6	0.92	16.8	16.5	0.28
James Harden	77	77	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	6	-5	13.1	13.4	-0.30	16.3	18.4	-2.08
Jason Terry	47	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.05	-3	10	-13	15.2	11.2	4.01	17.1	16.3	0.75
Terrence Jones	47	48	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	8	-9	14.3	12.1	2.20	18.0	15.4	2.65
Joey Dorsey	12	11	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	17	-27	14.2	13.0	1.14	17.5	16.6	0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.7,0.63,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 86, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%
MIN 114, SAS 122	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.28,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.58,0.57,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	92.9%
BOS 102, LAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.27,0.29,0.44,0.66,0.52,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.7%