NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Excitement	2.6 [1222]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +11.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	116		Comeback	1.0 [1310]		LVP	Kevin Martin (MIN): -6.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.06	22	49%	0.01	0	0.00	15	73%	-0.00
Arinze Onuaku	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Hamilton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	12	58%	0.03	4	-0.06	7	86%	0.00
Adreian Payne	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	0.00	0.05	15	47%	-0.04	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.00	0.03	16	67%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	13	53%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	55%	0.03	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	0.00	0.09	8	90%	0.07	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	79%	0.06	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	12	54%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	25.4	14.7	26.2	2.3	28.6	120.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +46.4%

MIN -4.2%

POR +6.7%

MIN -0.1%

POR +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.1	96.8	122.1	104.2
season	15.0	15.3		101.2	106.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		102.7	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.0	16.2	15.6	13.1	15.3
POR	14.7	13.8	15.0	17.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzo Brown	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.10	-5	-20	15	14.3	15.8	-1.49	16.2	14.6	1.52
Arinze Onuaku	18	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-21	17	15.8	15.1	0.65	16.5	14.9	1.57
Robbie Hummel	26	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-20	15	15.0	15.4	-0.35	17.8	14.2	3.57
Chase Budinger	60	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-16	7	14.7	16.2	-1.54	15.7	14.3	1.44
Justin Hamilton	55	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.16	-18	-7	-11	15.5	15.0	0.48	14.1	16.7	-2.60
Adreian Payne	53	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.13	-17	-8	-9	15.0	15.6	-0.59	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Kevin Martin	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.17	-21	-4	-17	16.2	12.9	3.37	14.3	17.5	-3.18
Andrew Wiggins	80	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.26	-25	0	-25	15.4	14.2	1.22	15.0	16.8	-1.79
Zach LaVine	75	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.14	-21	-4	-17	15.1	15.9	-0.87	15.0	15.9	-0.86

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	56	56	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.21	23	2	21	14.3	16.5	-2.19	16.3	13.7	2.68
Damian Lillard	58	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.19	21	4	17	14.3	16.7	-2.38	15.6	14.6	1.04
Nicolas Batum	58	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.19	21	4	17	14.3	16.7	-2.38	15.6	14.6	1.04
Arron Afflalo	58	56	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.21	19	6	13	14.8	15.9	-1.14	15.7	14.6	1.18
Chris Kaman	29	29	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	13	-1	14.5	15.5	-1.01	17.8	14.1	3.67
CJ McCollum	49	48	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	15	-5	15.9	14.5	1.36	15.6	14.9	0.76
Robin Lopez	52	52	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.19	12	13	-1	15.0	15.5	-0.45	14.5	16.2	-1.78
Steve Blake	27	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	21	-17	16.2	14.8	1.40	15.8	15.1	0.69
Meyers Leonard	39	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	23	-21	16.5	14.3	2.19	13.7	16.3	-2.68
Joel Freeland	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	17.4	14.8	2.59	12.8	15.7	-2.89
Allen Crabbe	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	16.6	15.0	1.64	13.1	15.7	-2.52
Alonzo Gee	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	17.9	14.9	2.99	11.7	15.7	-3.98
Tim Frazier	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	17.9	14.9	2.99	11.7	15.7	-3.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 64, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
VAN 82, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
ATL 80, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%