NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	69		Excitement	3.8 [1039]		MVP	DeMarre Carroll (ATL): +9.7%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	1.1 [1152]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): -11.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	16	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Brandan Wright	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	5	8%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Marcus Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerel McNeal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
TJ Warren	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	7	14%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	10	24%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	9	89%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	-0.00	0.08	8	89%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	13	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	3	12%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	9	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	10	35%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.6	33.2	15.6	24.5	2.4	24.5	126.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +44.2%

PHX -2.7%

ATL +12.2%

ATL +0.2%

PHX -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.3	15.1	73.4	102.1	104.2
season	14.4	14.9		103.7	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.0		101.8	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.0	15.7	14.5	18.6	16.4
ATL	11.8	13.7	16.8	15.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-27	27	15.7	16.5	-0.76	18.7	13.7	5.06
Earl Barron	25	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.28	-11	-16	5	18.3	15.7	2.58	15.6	13.7	1.88
TJ Warren	27	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.21	-10	-17	7	16.6	16.3	0.29	14.9	14.0	0.91
Jerel McNeal	9	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-21	15	17.2	16.3	0.93	12.1	14.5	-2.33
Reggie Bullock	30	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.26	-13	-14	1	17.2	16.0	1.25	16.8	13.0	3.83
Archie Goodwin	46	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.22	-12	-15	3	16.7	16.0	0.70	16.1	12.3	3.82
Gerald Green	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	-18	9	16.4	16.4	0.03	14.6	13.9	0.75
Eric Bledsoe	55	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-19	11	15.8	17.2	-1.45	13.1	15.8	-2.78
Marcus Morris	50	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-14	1	16.0	16.8	-0.73	13.1	15.5	-2.39
Markieff Morris	57	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-16	5	16.1	16.8	-0.62	13.5	15.4	-1.89
Brandan Wright	57	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	-14	1	15.2	18.2	-3.07	14.5	13.9	0.51
PJ Tucker	59	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.42	-29	2	-31	17.0	15.3	1.66	12.1	17.6	-5.46

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	52	55	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.45	28	-1	29	12.8	16.1	-3.33	16.9	15.6	1.31
DeMarre Carroll	49	49	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.05	14	13	1	14.1	14.4	-0.23	15.2	17.6	-2.38
Jeff Teague	51	51	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	14	-1	14.2	14.3	-0.13	15.5	17.4	-1.95
Thabo Sefolosha	37	38	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.41	24	3	21	14.1	14.4	-0.24	17.2	15.8	1.34
Mike Scott	48	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	17	-7	16.1	12.3	3.74	15.7	17.1	-1.46
Kyle Korver	54	54	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.33	20	7	13	12.2	17.0	-4.78	17.4	15.1	2.28
Al Horford	53	52	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.22	16	11	5	12.4	16.7	-4.31	17.2	15.4	1.73
Pero Antic	24	23	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	27	-27	15.9	13.7	2.23	15.1	16.8	-1.66
Dennis Schroder	29	29	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	27	-27	15.2	13.8	1.38	15.9	16.6	-0.65
Shelvin Mack	26	26	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.29	13	14	-1	14.5	14.2	0.34	18.9	15.4	3.51
Kent Bazemore	36	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	30	-33	16.7	12.7	4.04	15.4	17.0	-1.57
Elton Brand	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	27	-27	18.7	13.7	5.06	15.7	16.5	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 70, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
UTA 105, POR 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.67,0.8,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 96, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%