NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	11.4 [33]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +43.2%
Golden State Warriors	107		Comeback	12.3 [203]		LVP	Andrew Bogut (GSW): -7.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.41	-0.01	0.43	0.00	17	46%	0.47	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
TJ Warren	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.5,0.33	0.11	0.22	0.00	12	68%	0.33	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.23	0.04	0.20	0.01	9	58%	0.27	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Markieff Morris	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	10	74%	0.25	4	-0.17	3	67%	-0.03
Archie Goodwin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	4	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerel McNeal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	53%	0.07	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Earl Barron	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Reggie Bullock	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	14	34%	-0.03	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.43	0.43	0.03	0.39	-0.02	22	61%	0.68	6	-0.25	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.39	0.39	-0.05	0.45	0.00	8	25%	0.39	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.08,0.36	0.36	0.05	0.30	-0.00	14	53%	0.36	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
James Michael McAdoo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	5	53%	0.09	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	-0.00	5	45%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	53%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	12	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	70%	0.11	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	7	57%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.5	31.3	18.5	28.4	2.7	39.1	146.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +48.9%

PHX -11.8%

GSW +7.5%

PHX -7.0%

GSW +12.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	15.4	13.6	15.1	105.0	110.3	104.2
season	14.4	13.6		103.7	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		99.7	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.5	14.2	14.9	17.2	15.4
GSW	13.2	14.0	13.8	13.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	56	52	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-5	9	14.8	16.2	-1.39	13.9	13.3	0.59
Gerald Green	20	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-4	7	13.1	16.0	-2.81	14.7	13.4	1.35
Jerel McNeal	6	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-1	1	13.7	15.5	-1.85	11.8	13.8	-1.94
Reggie Bullock	28	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.00	-5	4	-9	14.6	15.7	-1.11	14.0	13.5	0.49
Earl Barron	6	6	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	8	-17	17.8	15.3	2.58	11.7	13.8	-2.11
Markieff Morris	71	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-5	9	15.8	14.4	1.43	12.9	15.5	-2.62
PJ Tucker	76	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.45	8	-9	17	16.0	13.6	2.35	13.6	13.7	-0.13
Brandan Wright	61	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	4	-9	15.4	15.5	-0.11	13.8	13.4	0.47
Eric Bledsoe	83	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.53	5	-6	11	15.5	15.0	0.49	14.0	12.0	2.00
Archie Goodwin	40	40	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.40	-4	3	-7	15.9	15.0	0.90	13.4	13.8	-0.38
TJ Warren	58	57	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.43	-6	5	-11	15.4	15.5	-0.10	13.7	13.5	0.17

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	36	38	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.56	7	-6	13	14.3	13.3	1.00	14.9	15.7	-0.74
Harrison Barnes	48	51	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.73	1	0	1	13.4	13.9	-0.42	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Andre Iguodala	55	57	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.49	1	0	1	13.5	13.8	-0.32	15.0	15.9	-0.85
Stephen Curry	68	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	2	-3	13.2	14.7	-1.48	15.2	15.9	-0.64
Klay Thompson	67	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.44	-4	5	-9	13.0	15.1	-2.10	15.3	15.7	-0.39
Leandro Barbosa	30	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.03	5	-4	9	15.1	13.0	2.10	15.7	15.3	0.39
Shaun Livingston	35	35	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	-3	7	15.1	12.9	2.20	15.9	15.1	0.82
Festus Ezeli	7	7	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	-2	5	14.0	13.6	0.38	11.0	15.7	-4.73
Andrew Bogut	46	49	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	5	-9	12.8	14.4	-1.61	16.4	14.4	2.03
Justin Holiday	6	6	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	0	1	14.8	13.6	1.26	10.0	15.7	-5.75
David Lee	43	43	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.18	-6	7	-13	13.2	14.0	-0.79	16.9	14.3	2.53
James Michael McAdoo	44	46	-0.47	0.97	-1.45	-0.42	-2	3	-5	14.2	13.2	1.02	15.5	15.4	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.77,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.55,0.36,0.1,0.1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.28,0.15,0.42,1	90.9%
GSW 95, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.7,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.29,0.15,0.26,1	90.1%
SEA 102, NOK 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.27,1	89.7%