NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	126		Excitement	5.9 [635]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +37.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	122		Comeback	11.8 [67]		LVP	Steve Blake (POR): -3.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38	0.31	0.13	0.07	21	79%	0.39	1	-0.01	10	100%	0.06
JJ Redick	0.16	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.11	0.05	20	60%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	5	65%	0.11	0	0.00	10	50%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.07	0.04	18	63%	0.19	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.02	0.07	6	108%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.16	-0.04	0.03	11	84%	0.16	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	14	60%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	46%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	11	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	22	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.02
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.7	23.7	15.6	30.8	1.7	44.3	140.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +41.8%

LAC +0.5%

LAC +1.0%

LAC +9.3%

POR -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.1	131.2	129.8	104.2
season	14.6	15.3		110.5	106.5
opponent	15.0	15.3		102.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.2	13.5	15.0	15.1	14.9
POR	15.8	16.5	14.3	14.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	37	37	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-11	26	14.1	15.5	-1.45	16.7	14.5	2.24
DeAndre Jordan	82	79	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	-1	6	15.1	14.1	0.94	15.3	15.7	-0.35
JJ Redick	69	69	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.50	-1	5	-6	15.3	14.1	1.16	14.8	17.0	-2.27
Chris Paul	79	77	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	-2	8	15.2	13.9	1.29	14.9	17.5	-2.56
Blake Griffin	78	76	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	0	4	14.9	15.2	-0.27	14.9	17.2	-2.29
Glen Davis	21	21	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	-1	6	15.6	14.8	0.80	17.6	14.7	2.83
Austin Rivers	43	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	-3	10	14.3	15.4	-1.09	17.2	13.9	3.33
Dahntay Jones	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	6	-8	0.0	15.3	-15.27	7.0	15.5	-8.46
Matt Barnes	59	58	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.16	-11	15	-26	15.5	14.1	1.45	14.4	16.9	-2.55
Spencer Hawes	10	10	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.05	-8	12	-20	14.4	15.0	-0.61	16.0	15.3	0.70

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	35	38	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.17	11	-15	26	16.4	14.7	1.68	14.7	15.1	-0.48
Steve Blake	26	27	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.08	-1	-3	2	15.3	15.4	-0.14	15.0	14.9	0.07
CJ McCollum	25	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-7	10	15.2	15.4	-0.29	14.7	15.0	-0.31
Joel Freeland	22	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-6	8	16.5	15.0	1.53	14.3	15.1	-0.82
Arron Afflalo	67	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.28	7	-11	18	14.5	17.4	-2.91	15.0	14.8	0.23
Nicolas Batum	66	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-2	0	14.8	16.6	-1.81	15.1	14.5	0.62
LaMarcus Aldridge	72	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	2	-8	15.0	16.5	-1.53	15.1	14.3	0.82
Damian Lillard	72	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	0	-4	15.4	15.2	0.25	15.2	14.2	1.04
Dorell Wright	32	33	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.20	-13	9	-22	17.2	14.4	2.75	14.0	15.4	-1.40
Robin Lopez	53	54	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.10	-17	13	-30	15.4	15.4	0.01	15.1	14.7	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.77,0.72,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.53,0.35,0.18,0.14,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.1,0.07,0,0,0	94.7%
HOU 119, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.41,0.2,0.28,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0	92.6%
ATL 94, MIN 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.47,0.29,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0	92.3%