NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	99		Excitement	8.1 [230]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +31.2%
Denver Nuggets	85		Comeback	2.3 [173]		LVP	Jason Richardson (PHI): -17.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.18	0.15	0.02	17	68%	0.31	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	8	61%	0.13	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.07	0.03	11	54%	0.11	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Furkan Aldemir	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ish Smith	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	5	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	13	29%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	47%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.09
Gary Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.04	-0.05	14	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	16	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	7	36%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	9	41%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	16	37%	0.01	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.8	30.2	15.8	26.2	2.3	34.6	138.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +58.6%

DEN -6.8%

DEN -3.6%

PHI +2.2%

DEN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	15.1	99.0	86.7	104.2
season	14.9	14.6		94.3	103.4
opponent	15.3	14.8		106.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.4	15.7	16.4	12.8	14.8
DEN	12.7	14.3	14.9	15.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	65	64	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.15	24	-10	34	14.7	14.9	-0.25	15.4	12.3	3.13
Nerlens Noel	66	65	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.19	22	-8	30	15.0	14.4	0.51	15.5	12.0	3.48
Robert Covington	58	58	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.08	17	-3	20	15.1	14.3	0.85	14.4	14.2	0.18
Jason Richardson	50	48	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	-1	16	16.0	13.6	2.44	16.0	12.7	3.28
Ish Smith	58	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.14	21	-7	28	14.5	15.2	-0.75	14.9	13.5	1.46
Hollis Thompson	49	48	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	6	2	14.4	15.1	-0.73	14.5	14.1	0.42
Isaiah Canaan	48	49	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.05	1	13	-12	14.0	15.5	-1.46	12.9	15.7	-2.86
Glenn Robinson	6	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	16	-18	13.5	14.9	-1.36	11.3	14.5	-3.17
Furkan Aldemir	31	30	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.04	-10	24	-34	15.0	14.7	0.27	12.4	15.1	-2.75
Thomas Robinson	33	30	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.09	-10	24	-34	15.3	14.5	0.74	12.4	15.1	-2.75
JaKarr Sampson	36	37	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	-0.06	-16	30	-46	14.0	15.2	-1.26	12.3	15.5	-3.18

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Harris	1	2	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-14	14	7.0	14.4	-7.38	13.5	14.8	-1.31
Danilo Gallinari	64	64	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-16	18	14.1	14.8	-0.70	15.2	14.0	1.22
Jusuf Nurkic	16	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-9	4	12.9	14.6	-1.64	14.0	14.9	-0.93
Ty Lawson	70	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-14	14	13.6	16.0	-2.32	14.2	16.1	-1.89
JJ Hickson	42	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-7	0	14.3	14.3	-0.08	15.0	14.6	0.47
Will Barton	43	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-5	-4	14.5	14.1	0.41	15.8	13.9	1.90
Randy Foye	70	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-8	2	14.4	14.1	0.33	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Wilson Chandler	80	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	-3	-8	14.3	14.4	-0.10	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Kenneth Faried	55	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	-3	-8	15.0	13.4	1.62	14.8	14.8	0.00
Jameer Nelson	49	50	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.01	-23	9	-32	15.1	13.5	1.59	15.0	14.6	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.33,0.32,0.15,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	92.2%
DET 87, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.11,0.15,0.05,0	92.0%
MEM 103, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.02,0	91.8%