NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	95		Excitement	6.9 [424]		MVP	Andrew Nicholson (ORL): +12.0%
Orlando Magic	83		Comeback	5.4 [403]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): -20.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.08	0.12	-0.02	13	39%	0.15	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	54%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.06	0.06	12	67%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.09	-0.08	0.03	20	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.00	12	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	12	41%	-0.01	4	-0.14	3	33%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	7	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	14	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.03	15	53%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.10	-0.06	19	42%	0.08	5	-0.25	7	71%	-0.03
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.15	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	5	-0.24	9	89%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.0	29.2	15.6	25.2	2.5	31.6	130.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +35.5%

ORL -13.7%

ATL +3.4%

ATL +26.5%

ORL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.3	15.1	102.2	90.2	104.2
season	14.9	14.9		106.7	100.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.2	14.5	14.1	17.9	15.8
ORL	13.4	15.5	15.3	17.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	65	65	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.12	20	-8	28	15.3	17.1	-1.83	15.3	15.4	-0.15
DeMarre Carroll	67	66	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.11	19	-7	26	15.7	16.2	-0.45	15.4	15.0	0.42
Pero Antic	41	40	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.24	14	-2	16	15.3	16.3	-1.00	16.3	14.5	1.76
Paul Millsap	69	68	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.09	19	-7	26	15.9	15.6	0.33	15.7	14.2	1.43
Kyle Korver	73	74	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.00	9	3	6	15.5	16.9	-1.43	15.2	15.7	-0.52
Kent Bazemore	22	20	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	10	-8	15.4	16.0	-0.61	15.5	15.2	0.31
Dennis Schroder	37	36	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	16	-20	16.8	15.2	1.63	14.8	15.6	-0.87
Mike Muscala	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	23.5	15.7	7.84	8.0	15.4	-7.38
Elton Brand	14	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	14	-16	17.5	15.5	1.97	13.8	15.5	-1.70
Al Horford	62	63	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.03	-7	19	-26	15.7	16.0	-0.31	14.6	16.9	-2.33
Thabo Sefolosha	13	14	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.13	-8	20	-28	17.8	15.5	2.26	17.0	15.0	2.00

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	30	29	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.04	6	-18	24	15.5	15.2	0.24	14.9	16.2	-1.30
Willie Green	37	36	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.08	1	-13	14	15.4	15.2	0.21	14.2	16.8	-2.57
Channing Frye	14	13	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.01	3	-15	18	14.1	15.5	-1.37	14.8	16.0	-1.14
Aaron Gordon	20	20	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.03	1	-13	14	15.0	15.4	-0.33	15.1	16.0	-0.93
Dewayne Dedmon	51	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.17	-10	-2	-8	14.6	16.2	-1.56	16.2	15.4	0.76
Nikola Vucevic	72	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	-2	-8	15.5	14.5	1.03	16.2	14.1	2.13
Andrew Nicholson	30	30	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	-6	0	16.3	14.8	1.53	15.9	15.8	0.06
Elfrid Payton	66	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.17	-15	3	-18	15.2	15.6	-0.43	16.4	14.3	2.16
Tobias Harris	67	69	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.23	-14	2	-16	15.3	15.4	-0.08	16.0	15.4	0.61
Victor Oladipo	73	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.22	-16	4	-20	15.4	14.8	0.65	15.9	15.3	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.52,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.61,0.47,0.16,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, SAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.17,0.05,0	92.7%
PHX 91, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.67,0.38,0.15,0.14,0.09,0	91.6%
POR 92, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.05,0.02,0	91.5%