NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	92		Excitement	3.6 [1090]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): +12.4%
Chicago Bulls	108		Comeback	1.7 [628]		LVP	Terrence Ross (TOR): -6.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.05	14	71%	0.11	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	0.00	0.08	11	77%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Landry Fields	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	15	37%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	9	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	1	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
James Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	15%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	13	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.01	21	62%	0.13	2	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.01	0.08	13	72%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	3	117%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Bairstow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	48%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Aaron Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	46%	0.00	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	25.2	17.6	26.6	1.7	28.3	126.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +38.9%

TOR -0.5%

CHI +13.8%

TOR -4.4%

CHI +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	17.0	16.7	15.1	107.0	127.1	104.2
season	15.6	15.5		109.1	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.0		102.5	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.7	17.6	14.7	18.4	17.0
CHI	14.3	18.4	14.7	20.6	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	15.2	17.1	-1.81	19.7	16.6	3.19
Tyler Hansbrough	33	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-12	8	18.0	16.4	1.61	17.8	16.1	1.72
James Johnson	23	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-17	18	17.2	16.9	0.27	20.0	15.6	4.37
Amir Johnson	47	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-10	4	16.0	18.2	-2.20	15.5	18.4	-2.87
Terrence Ross	57	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-10	4	16.3	18.3	-2.01	17.1	15.9	1.16
Greivis Vasquez	68	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-8	0	16.8	17.5	-0.66	16.2	19.0	-2.83
Patrick Patterson	42	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	-2	-12	18.2	15.8	2.47	17.8	15.8	2.02
Lou Williams	42	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-4	-8	18.2	15.8	2.47	17.6	16.0	1.59
Jonas Valanciunas	46	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	-4	-8	16.3	17.8	-1.49	16.0	17.4	-1.41
DeMar DeRozan	68	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.12	-23	7	-30	16.8	17.5	-0.66	15.4	22.2	-6.75

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	52	53	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.08	19	-3	22	15.4	18.8	-3.40	16.5	17.8	-1.27
Tony Snell	58	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.06	17	-1	18	16.4	17.3	-0.87	17.7	15.3	2.34
Nikola Mirotic	52	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	2	12	17.4	15.7	1.70	18.0	15.2	2.74
Aaron Brooks	60	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	4	8	15.8	18.9	-3.14	17.1	16.6	0.55
Kirk Hinrich	50	48	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	2	12	17.1	16.2	0.86	16.4	17.7	-1.22
Mike Dunleavy	52	51	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.20	16	0	16	17.1	16.0	1.10	16.6	17.5	-0.95
Taj Gibson	17	19	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	20	-24	16.8	16.7	0.15	17.8	16.7	1.04
Joakim Noah	57	57	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	11	-6	17.4	15.3	2.06	17.0	17.0	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	21.5	16.6	4.91	13.0	17.0	-4.02
Cameron Bairstow	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	21.5	16.6	4.91	13.0	17.0	-4.02
Doug McDermott	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	21	-26	18.4	16.5	1.84	15.9	17.1	-1.21
E'Twaun Moore	15	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	20	-24	16.2	16.8	-0.61	14.6	17.4	-2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 93, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
PHX 102, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
CHI 93, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%