NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	12.2 [22]		MVP	Terrence Jones (HOU): +17.1%
Houston Rockets	105		Comeback	2.5 [463]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -54.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	6	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	4	37%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.03	-0.14	0.00	9	64%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.08
Iman Shumpert	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	13	29%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	0.04	-0.19	-0.01	19	52%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	-0.54	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.1,0.03,0.02,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.4,-0.46,-0.54	-0.07	-0.53	-0.06	35	46%	-0.43	4	-0.11	11	27%	-0.56

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	10	66%	0.17	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.06	-0.03	18	61%	0.23	5	-0.06	18	83%	0.04
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.12	0.01	7	75%	0.21	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	14	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.14,-0.14,-0.3	-0.30	-0.09	-0.21	-0.00	12	38%	0.06	3	-0.36	2	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	2.8	31.0	16.8	40.1	2.8	33.1	2.5	18.6	173.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +85.8%

HOU +49.0%

CLE -51.8%

CLE -41.7%

HOU +8.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	HOU	NBA	CLE	HOU	NBA
this game	17.3	14.8	15.1	102.0	108.2	104.2
season	15.9	14.3		108.7	105.6
opponent	14.9	14.9		103.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	15.9	16.6	15.6	20.9	21.1	17.3
HOU	12.9	14.0	12.6	19.1	21.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	30	30	0.40	-0.90	1.30	0.05	12	-14	26	14.5	18.5	-4.01	16.7	13.9	2.82
Iman Shumpert	49	49	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-6	10	15.1	19.4	-4.26	14.9	14.6	0.29
Matthew Dellavedova	71	70	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	0	-2	17.0	18.0	-0.92	14.0	16.7	-2.76
Tristan Thompson	71	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-6	10	17.0	18.0	-1.02	15.2	13.8	1.38
Timofey Mozgov	37	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	10	-22	17.5	17.2	0.35	12.6	16.0	-3.36
J.R. Smith	95	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.48	1	-3	4	17.7	10.5	7.25	15.1	9.7	5.42
LeBron James	81	75	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.47	-8	6	-14	17.8	15.4	2.39	14.4	16.0	-1.55
Kevin Love	63	61	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.62	-7	5	-12	19.1	14.3	4.85	14.6	15.1	-0.48

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Jones	82	84	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.49	15	-13	28	14.0	18.7	-4.63	17.8	14.8	3.00
James Harden	78	83	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.44	14	-12	26	13.5	19.7	-6.20	17.5	16.6	0.93
Patrick Beverley	61	64	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.51	6	-4	10	14.7	14.9	-0.26	19.1	14.3	4.81
Josh Smith	57	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.57	-6	8	-14	15.2	14.1	1.15	16.3	18.9	-2.66
Trevor Ariza	68	68	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.10	4	-2	6	14.5	15.4	-0.94	18.2	15.5	2.63
Pablo Prigioni	12	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	3	-4	13.6	14.9	-1.33	16.1	17.5	-1.42
Jason Terry	27	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.09	-5	7	-12	16.6	14.0	2.55	13.7	18.7	-4.98
Donatas Motiejunas	55	55	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.10	-6	8	-14	15.3	14.0	1.33	18.0	16.5	1.54
Corey Brewer	39	40	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.05	-13	15	-28	15.8	14.0	1.79	14.4	19.2	-4.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.53,0.76,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.83,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, VAN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.77,0.98,1	89.1%
HOU 99, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.92,1	88.9%
ATL 84, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.59,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	88.6%