inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 93 Excitement9.1 [122] MVPLou Williams (TOR): +29.8%
Toronto Raptors 95 Comeback4.6 [418] LVPDrew Gooden (WAS): -25.2%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.070.001265%0.161-0.02250%-0.04
Nene0.020,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.030.01878%0.132-0.1120%-0.02
Kevin Seraphin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.01743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Garrett Temple-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00350%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.030,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00850%0.032-0.07250%-0.01
Andre Miller-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.00425%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Otto Porter-0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.030.02643%-0.032-0.072100%0.01
Rasual Butler-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.09-0.07-0.001025%-0.131-0.0200%0.00
John Wall-0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.05,-0.19-0.03-0.17-0.021555%-0.075-0.12875%-0.01
Drew Gooden-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.25-0.05-0.200.001242%-0.142-0.1100%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.30.300.200.120.021669%0.3000.007100%0.05
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.12,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,0.090.09-0.010.110.011850%0.163-0.0710100%0.05
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.02-0.00779%0.172-0.1000%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.01255%0.0100.00757%-0.06
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.01475%0.061-0.0500%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.011254%0.083-0.0800%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01560%0.033-0.0800%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00217%-0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.09-0.12-0.00812%-0.2100.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.727.315.826.02.831.0130.9
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +41.7%
TOR +21.5%
WAS -28.2%
TOR +14.4%
TOR +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASTORNBAWASTORNBA
this game14.915.915.1100.0101.1104.2
season15.115.6102.9109.1
opponent15.015.3106.8101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS10.915.615.518.914.9
TOR14.817.115.816.115.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcin Gortat51520.25-0.751.000.028-101812.917.3-4.3716.415.21.17
Andre Miller19190.20-0.700.900.055-71220.313.56.7917.615.42.19
Otto Porter41430.16-0.660.830.054-61014.015.6-1.5916.415.50.94
Kevin Seraphin30310.01-0.510.520.13-42-618.013.44.5614.916.4-1.46
Paul Pierce5959-0.24-0.260.03-0.333-5813.717.0-3.3316.614.62.00
Rasual Butler3435-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.30-53-817.013.73.3314.616.6-2.00
Garrett Temple5251-0.48-0.01-0.47-0.31-64-1015.614.01.5915.516.4-0.94
Nene4850-0.600.10-0.69-0.51-31-414.215.7-1.4616.715.01.70
Drew Gooden5755-0.670.17-0.83-0.52-53-815.613.71.9015.216.8-1.60
John Wall7475-0.700.20-0.90-0.50-75-1213.520.3-6.7915.417.6-2.19

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson44440.77-0.271.040.509-71615.316.4-1.1013.516.2-2.68
DeMar DeRozan72710.65-0.150.810.544-2615.616.8-1.2213.818.6-4.88
Kyle Lowry65640.480.020.450.4802-216.315.01.3313.617.9-4.33
Patrick Patterson58570.430.070.360.46-13-415.616.4-0.7716.212.93.21
Lou Williams65640.420.080.350.285-3816.015.50.5315.413.91.48
Jonas Valanciunas33330.130.37-0.240.19-24-616.415.60.8312.216.4-4.23
Greivis Vasquez35360.120.38-0.27-0.097-51214.316.8-2.4517.713.24.49
Tyler Hansbrough15140.000.50-0.500.0002-216.715.70.9315.214.90.35
Terrence Ross2423-0.170.67-0.84-0.05-46-1016.715.61.0518.113.94.27
James Johnson3537-0.280.78-1.06-0.13-57-1216.815.31.5115.814.41.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.18,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.39,0.45,0.83,0.57,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 94, POR 980.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.72,0.91,0.73,190.7%
BOS 90, CLE 950.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.77,0.57,190.0%
PHX 101, WAS 1060.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.58,189.9%