NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	4.5 [918]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (BOS): +18.5%
Utah Jazz	90		Comeback	1.1 [334]		LVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): -12.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.04	0.00	10	79%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.01	8	78%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	52%	0.05	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	12	46%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	20	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	16	62%	0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.11	17	57%	0.00	1	-0.04	12	67%	-0.02
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	13	39%	-0.01	3	-0.07	7	43%	-0.05
Dante Exum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.5	28.7	14.8	25.7	1.7	34.5	128.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +27.7%

BOS +16.0%

UTA -6.0%

BOS +9.4%

BOS +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	15.1	108.8	97.8	104.2
season	14.3	16.2		103.1	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		103.7	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.0	13.5	16.3	14.7	15.2
UTA	17.4	19.2	14.3	14.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	58	58	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.09	16	-7	23	14.7	15.9	-1.18	16.3	16.4	-0.06
Tyler Zeller	58	57	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.08	15	-6	21	14.7	16.0	-1.28	15.5	17.6	-2.12
Marcus Smart	58	58	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	2	5	15.0	15.4	-0.38	14.3	19.8	-5.47
Jared Sullinger	51	50	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	-3	15	15.2	15.1	0.14	17.7	14.7	2.95
Marcus Thornton	37	35	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	4	1	16.6	14.1	2.52	15.3	16.9	-1.66
Gerald Wallace	27	28	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	-1	11	14.6	15.4	-0.80	15.4	16.7	-1.27
Avery Bradley	54	58	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	5	-1	14.4	16.2	-1.74	16.7	15.7	1.01
Jae Crowder	29	29	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	14	-19	16.1	14.7	1.34	16.9	16.0	0.85
Evan Turner	38	40	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	7	-5	14.9	15.3	-0.35	18.7	14.5	4.26
Brandon Bass	45	47	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.43	-21	30	-51	16.0	14.4	1.59	16.8	15.8	1.01

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	68	67	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.29	13	-22	35	16.0	17.3	-1.38	15.6	13.9	1.68
Derrick Favors	66	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-12	15	16.4	16.0	0.44	15.0	15.4	-0.36
Trevor Booker	9	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	0	-9	17.3	16.2	1.13	14.8	15.2	-0.42
Joe Ingles	58	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.47	10	-19	29	17.2	14.9	2.27	16.0	13.7	2.26
Enes Kanter	61	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-12	15	16.5	16.0	0.43	15.2	15.1	0.04
Trey Burke	63	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	15.6	17.9	-2.26	14.8	15.8	-1.01
Rudy Gobert	47	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	3	-15	15.9	16.8	-0.91	15.6	14.6	1.04
Elijah Millsap	40	40	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.12	-22	13	-35	15.1	17.2	-2.15	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Dante Exum	48	49	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	0.07	-24	15	-39	17.6	14.9	2.78	14.2	16.2	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 125, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.23,0.22,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
CHI 103, SAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.37,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%
DEN 120, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0	93.7%